NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	1.2 [923]		MVP	Louis Williams (PHI): +15.4%
Golden State Warriors	79		Comeback	2.8 [447]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -10.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	11	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	1	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Craig Brackins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	6	14%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	15	70%	0.14	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	24	37%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.7	15.8	24.6	2.6	27.3	120.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.1%

PHI +5.3%

PHI +0.4%

PHI +7.8%

GSW -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.6	112.6	84.0	102.8
season	15.6	15.2		101.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		106.8	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	14.0	14.8	17.7	15.0
GSW	16.1	16.7	14.6	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.33	28	0	28	14.5	15.6	-1.10	17.5	12.9	4.64
Evan Turner	54	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.19	23	5	18	14.2	16.1	-1.96	16.3	14.3	1.99
Thaddeus Young	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.41	28	0	28	15.0	15.1	-0.08	16.2	14.2	1.94
Spencer Hawes	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	8	12	15.4	14.4	1.08	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	70	67	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.20	16	12	4	15.8	12.9	2.87	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Andre Iguodala	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	12	4	14.9	15.3	-0.41	15.8	14.9	0.93
Elton Brand	57	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	25	-22	15.0	15.1	-0.17	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Nikola Vucevic	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	23	-18	13.9	15.3	-1.39	13.6	15.8	-2.27
Craig Brackins	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	16.3	14.9	1.35	9.6	16.0	-6.36
Jodie Meeks	40	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	29	-30	15.5	14.7	0.81	13.0	17.2	-4.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-31	34	15.2	15.6	-0.36	15.2	14.9	0.29
Chris Wright	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	12.3	16.0	-3.64	18.0	14.6	3.40
Jeremy Tyler	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	9.6	16.0	-6.36	16.3	14.9	1.35
Ish Smith	47	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-28	28	15.7	15.1	0.60	14.6	15.4	-0.86
Klay Thompson	53	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.33	-13	-15	2	13.7	17.7	-3.97	15.8	13.9	1.87
Andris Biedrins	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-23	18	16.8	15.1	1.71	16.3	14.7	1.54
David Lee	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	-12	-4	15.7	15.1	0.61	15.1	14.9	0.28
Dorell Wright	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	-12	-4	15.6	15.3	0.26	15.5	14.4	1.06
Dominic McGuire	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-8	-12	16.2	15.1	1.16	13.7	15.6	-1.90
Ekpe Udoh	35	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-12	-4	17.0	14.5	2.43	14.1	15.6	-1.57
Stephen Curry	58	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.24	-22	-6	-16	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.3	14.6	0.69
Brandon Rush	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.32	-30	2	-32	16.2	13.9	2.34	14.0	17.1	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0	95.7%
NOP 111, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 108, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%