NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	6.1 [603]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +17.1%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.6 [561]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -19.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dionte Christmas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	-0.04	16	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.03	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.04	16	53%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	18	31%	-0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.8	15.7	24.6	2.5	39.5	135.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.6%

CHI +1.9%

CHI +17.1%

PHX -6.3%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.1	95.6	100.0	105.2
season	14.7	16.3		107.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.9		99.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.3	14.5	15.5	12.9	14.8
CHI	16.4	14.8	18.0	17.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dionte Christmas	14	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-10	15	14.9	14.7	0.12	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Alex Len	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	17.1	14.4	2.65	17.3	16.6	0.64
Channing Frye	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-15	25	13.9	15.9	-1.99	17.9	15.2	2.70
Ish Smith	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-13	21	13.8	15.7	-1.85	17.5	16.0	1.49
Archie Goodwin	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	16.3	14.3	1.98	17.5	16.5	1.03
Gerald Green	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	14.3	16.1	-1.84	16.5	17.4	-0.97
Markieff Morris	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	3	-11	15.5	14.0	1.50	16.9	16.5	0.35
PJ Tucker	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	9	-23	15.3	14.3	0.96	14.8	18.1	-3.23
Goran Dragic	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	14.9	14.5	0.34	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Marcus Morris	32	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.7	0.08	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Miles Plumlee	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.18	16.9	16.3	0.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	54	56	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.08	17	-12	29	16.3	17.2	-0.90	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Jimmy Butler	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	16.7	16.8	-0.07	14.5	16.4	-1.97
Joakim Noah	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	17.0	15.7	1.29	14.9	14.3	0.55
Tony Snell	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	0	5	16.8	16.6	0.21	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Taj Gibson	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.47	-7	12	-19	16.9	15.5	1.42	14.6	15.5	-0.85
Kirk Hinrich	61	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	9	-13	16.3	17.5	-1.17	14.9	14.4	0.49
Mike Dunleavy	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	17.2	16.0	1.18	15.4	13.8	1.57
Nazr Mohammed	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	1	3	15.7	17.0	-1.29	14.3	14.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.97,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1	94.1%
ATL 82, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.97,0.98,1	93.9%
UTA 81, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1	93.7%