NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	95		Excitement	10.3 [68]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +33.9%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	2.9 [495]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -35.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.34	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34	0.13	0.22	0.01	12	72%	0.36	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Greg Stiemsma	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	0.00	7	80%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	60%	0.11	2	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	0.00	13	62%	0.13	5	-0.35	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.19	-0.17	-0.01	11	18%	-0.18	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.07	0.01	10	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.02
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	0.04	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.14	-0.22	0.01	15	65%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.12	0.00	14	17%	-0.26	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.21,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.32,-0.36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	17	32%	-0.27	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.6	26.3	15.4	29.6	2.4	48.6	145.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +138.4%

BOS -21.1%

BOS -33.9%

BOS -30.2%

BOS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.1	105.6	102.2	105.2
season	15.5	15.4		105.6	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	15.0	16.4	14.6	15.4
BOS	16.5	18.5	16.3	15.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	34	35	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.52	9	-6	15	15.4	15.4	0.03	16.8	16.5	0.32
Tyreke Evans	55	57	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-2	7	15.3	15.5	-0.24	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Anthony Davis	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.40	2	1	1	15.1	16.3	-1.20	16.8	16.0	0.81
Jrue Holiday	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	7	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.53	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Eric Gordon	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	6	-9	15.3	15.5	-0.25	17.0	15.8	1.29
Darius Miller	25	25	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-7	17	15.2	15.4	-0.18	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Brian Roberts	27	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	-6	15	15.7	15.2	0.53	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Ryan Anderson	47	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	0	3	15.6	15.1	0.57	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Alexis Ajinca	22	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	8	-13	15.6	15.3	0.30	17.6	16.3	1.31
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	42	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.09	-11	14	-25	15.7	15.1	0.57	16.5	16.7	-0.25

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	17.3	16.5	0.80	17.4	14.8	2.54
Jeff Green	57	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-13	23	16.8	16.3	0.57	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Kelly Olynyk	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	14.5	17.1	-2.59	13.1	15.8	-2.68
Kris Humphries	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	4	-11	16.6	16.6	0.02	15.6	15.1	0.46
Courtney Lee	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	4	-11	16.4	16.7	-0.30	16.5	14.9	1.60
Brandon Bass	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-6	9	17.0	15.6	1.43	15.3	15.6	-0.38
Avery Bradley	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-7	11	16.7	16.4	0.30	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Jordan Crawford	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	16.5	17.3	-0.80	14.8	17.4	-2.54
Gerald Wallace	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	10	-23	16.3	16.8	-0.57	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Jared Sullinger	53	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.60	3	-6	9	16.8	16.4	0.39	16.2	14.1	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, WAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.27,0	91.4%
CLE 81, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.73,0	91.1%
DAL 94, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.77,0.42,0	91.1%