NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	9.1 [126]		MVP	Chris Jefferies (TOR): +5.7%
Toronto Raptors	80		Comeback	7.9 [131]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -35.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.06	0.00	26	49%	0.40	6	-0.45	7	86%	0.25
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	4	10%	-0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	14	43%	-0.09	2	-0.13	9	89%	0.02
Darius Miles	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.02	-0.21	0.01	4	73%	0.00	3	-0.24	3	67%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	65%	0.12	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	47%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.21,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	15	27%	-0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	5	27%	-0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.24	-0.01	16	61%	-0.04	4	-0.20	9	78%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35	-0.35	-0.16	-0.20	-0.01	12	17%	-0.17	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	26.2	15.7	27.2	2.3	36.6	135.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.9%

CLE +64.7%

CLE +1.7%

TOR -32.9%

CLE +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.5	89.0	87.0	101.6
season	15.1	16.2		94.6	98.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	15.0	16.2	15.2	15.2
TOR	15.5	15.6	17.3	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	85	87	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-6	13	15.1	17.2	-2.08	16.2	16.6	-0.37
Jumaine Jones	46	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-5	11	14.8	15.7	-0.93	16.3	16.2	0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	-1	3	15.3	15.0	0.35	15.8	17.7	-1.84
Tyrone Hill	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	1	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.70	16.0	17.2	-1.14
Dajuan Wagner	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.52	-9	10	-19	15.9	14.4	1.46	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Darius Miles	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	0	1	15.8	14.5	1.33	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Carlos Boozer	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	-1	3	14.6	15.7	-1.10	17.8	15.2	2.52
Milt Palacio	20	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	-5	11	12.5	16.0	-3.49	16.9	16.0	0.87
Michael Stewart	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	22.2	14.9	7.35	13.3	16.3	-3.01
Smush Parker	20	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	9	-17	16.4	14.9	1.58	17.4	15.9	1.47

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-4	7	15.1	16.4	-1.23	16.1	15.1	0.99
Jermaine Jackson	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	16.0	16.3	-0.28	16.7	15.0	1.66
Greg Foster	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	16.2	16.2	-0.00	11.7	15.7	-3.97
Chris Jefferies	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	5	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.01	15.7	14.5	1.20
Antonio Davis	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-3	5	17.2	14.5	2.75	14.4	16.6	-2.14
Jerome Williams	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.58	9	-10	19	16.1	16.6	-0.48	16.1	12.1	4.00
Lindsey Hunter	71	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-3	5	16.8	14.4	2.36	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Jelani McCoy	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	12	-25	16.1	16.5	-0.40	15.0	15.6	-0.52
Alvin Williams	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	15.6	18.3	-2.64	15.4	14.7	0.68
Morris Peterson	40	38	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.68	-6	5	-11	15.6	16.7	-1.15	15.5	15.0	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.27,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.73,0	91.6%
NOP 95, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	90.5%