NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Excitement	6.2 [588]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +18.1%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.9 [974]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -11.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Bennett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dion Waiters	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	9	44%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.07	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	9	72%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	7	60%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,-0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	19	48%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	6	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	13	63%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.2	15.6	24.2	2.4	34.4	133.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.5%

IND +16.1%

CLE -12.3%

IND +21.8%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.1	83.5	100.0	105.2
season	15.2	15.8		102.8	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	17.0	16.7	15.0	16.2
IND	14.4	15.0	16.0	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	3	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-17	19	6.7	16.5	-9.88	22.0	15.2	6.80
Alonzo Gee	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-15	15	0.0	16.4	-16.40	0.0	15.4	-15.43
Tristan Thompson	68	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-13	11	17.1	13.6	3.49	15.5	15.2	0.34
Tyler Zeller	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-7	-1	15.0	16.9	-1.87	15.0	15.6	-0.61
CJ Miles	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-10	5	17.3	15.7	1.55	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Dion Waiters	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-3	-9	15.2	19.1	-3.95	15.7	14.5	1.27
Earl Clark	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-11	7	16.3	16.1	0.15	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Kyrie Irving	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-8	1	17.3	13.6	3.79	15.5	15.3	0.22
Anthony Bennett	22	22	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	13.3	17.2	-3.89	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Anderson Varejao	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	17.8	13.7	4.09	15.3	15.6	-0.35
Jarrett Jack	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	2	-19	15.5	17.0	-1.57	15.6	15.3	0.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	40	39	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-4	23	14.6	16.1	-1.43	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Danny Granger	37	37	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-1	17	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Paul George	72	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	1	13	15.6	14.8	0.74	16.0	17.4	-1.40
CJ Watson	35	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	5	5	15.2	15.6	-0.37	14.7	17.1	-2.36
Roy Hibbert	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	2	11	15.5	15.3	0.22	16.7	14.9	1.83
George Hill	63	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	5	5	15.4	15.5	-0.15	17.2	13.8	3.32
Ian Mahinmi	26	24	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	13	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.22	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Rasual Butler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	17.7	15.4	2.31	10.5	16.3	-5.85
Donald Sloan	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	17.7	15.4	2.31	10.5	16.3	-5.85
Lance Stephenson	60	61	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	16	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.08	17.3	14.1	3.21
David West	51	51	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	19	-23	16.1	14.6	1.43	17.2	14.9	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%
SAS 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%