NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	80		Excitement	7.7 [300]		MVP	Trey Burke (UTA): +18.2%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	1.4 [721]		LVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): -33.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.08	-0.05	0.13	0.00	17	46%	0.17	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.05
Josh McRoberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.00	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33	-0.10	-0.22	0.01	23	37%	-0.28	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.04,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.01	17	58%	0.32	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	0.13	-0.07	0.20	-0.00	10	59%	0.28	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	41%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	10	41%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.1	15.3	23.5	2.4	29.1	120.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +85.6%

CHA -3.8%

CHA -17.1%

CHA -12.8%

CHA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	15.1	93.0	94.3	105.2
season	15.7	16.2		102.4	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	20.5	15.9	16.0	15.3	16.8
UTA	17.4	14.8	15.3	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	18.1	16.6	1.49	18.5	16.1	2.39
Bismack Biyombo	22	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-1	-1	15.4	17.3	-1.90	17.4	15.9	1.49
Chris Douglas-Roberts	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	16.0	17.6	-1.54	17.3	15.3	1.95
Anthony Tolliver	48	50	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	16.8	16.8	-0.02	16.7	15.9	0.77
Ramon Sessions	46	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.8	17.9	-2.05	16.3	16.3	0.04
Kemba Walker	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.42	2	-5	7	16.7	17.0	-0.25	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Al Jefferson	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	17.3	15.4	1.90	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Gerald Henderson	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-2	1	17.2	15.6	1.66	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Josh McRoberts	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	17.5	15.4	2.11	15.5	18.0	-2.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	16.5	16.0	0.48	17.4	15.4	2.00
Marvin Williams	62	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	16.0	17.1	-1.06	17.3	15.6	1.72
Trey Burke	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	16.1	17.0	-0.98	17.1	16.0	1.11
Gordon Hayward	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	15.3	18.0	-2.77	17.3	15.8	1.49
Richard Jefferson	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	7	-11	16.5	15.4	1.09	16.8	16.5	0.38
Alec Burks	50	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-4	11	17.2	15.2	2.02	16.0	17.7	-1.62
Diante Garrett	24	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	17.0	16.1	0.98	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Jeremy Evans	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	17.1	16.0	1.06	15.6	17.3	-1.72
Enes Kanter	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	16.0	16.5	-0.48	15.4	17.4	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.55,0.77,0.58,1	91.5%
MIA 101, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1	91.4%
POR 108, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.72,1	91.2%