NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	5.5 [727]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +8.8%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.5 [308]		LVP	Dwight Howard (HOU): -12.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	58%	0.11	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	8	65%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	48%	-0.01	5	-0.12	13	38%	-0.13

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	12	66%	0.13	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	60%	0.12	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	20	57%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.0	33.0	15.4	29.6	2.4	30.7	139.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.0%

SAC +23.2%

HOU -0.2%

SAC +12.2%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.1	91.0	105.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.4		109.5	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.2		107.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.3	14.1	13.7	14.1	13.8
SAC	13.9	14.7	14.0	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	32	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-21	27	14.0	13.7	0.28	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Ronnie Brewer	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.5	13.8	-3.35	18.3	14.8	3.57
Donatas Motiejunas	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-16	17	11.8	14.0	-2.20	15.5	14.8	0.76
Greg Smith	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-8	1	14.2	13.5	0.66	15.1	14.7	0.46
James Harden	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-11	7	14.3	12.7	1.60	14.9	14.7	0.22
Patrick Beverley	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-4	-7	13.1	15.1	-2.03	15.2	14.4	0.79
Omri Casspi	33	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	13.4	14.0	-0.53	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Dwight Howard	63	64	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.1	13.2	0.98	15.3	14.2	1.08
Francisco Garcia	40	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	14.1	13.6	0.53	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Chandler Parsons	87	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	13.5	15.6	-2.11	15.1	13.7	1.34
Aaron Brooks	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-1	-13	14.1	13.4	0.70	14.4	15.5	-1.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	2	11	15.2	12.9	2.35	13.9	13.1	0.74
DeMarcus Cousins	69	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-1	17	15.3	13.9	1.37	13.2	14.9	-1.63
Rudy Gay	81	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-1	17	14.9	14.9	-0.04	13.8	13.6	0.18
Travis Outlaw	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	4	7	15.0	14.7	0.31	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Jason Thompson	49	50	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	10	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.46	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Marcus Thornton	15	15	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	9	-3	12.9	15.2	-2.28	13.9	13.8	0.10
Derrick Williams	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	7	1	15.1	14.7	0.37	14.6	13.1	1.46
Quincy Acy	26	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	14	-13	13.9	15.2	-1.28	14.8	13.4	1.45
Jimmer Fredette	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	12	-9	11.5	15.3	-3.83	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Ben McLemore	48	49	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	17	-19	15.1	14.7	0.36	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Ray McCallum	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.3	14.8	3.57	10.5	13.8	-3.35
Hamady Ndiaye	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.3	14.8	3.57	10.5	13.8	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.94,1,1	94.3%
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 100, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%