NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	4.4 [948]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +21.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	104		Comeback	2.7 [557]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -13.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	-0.02	0.07	10	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Calathes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	12	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.03	12	96%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.05	14	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	0	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	19	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.6	28.0	15.8	25.0	1.8	32.2	125.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +34.3%

NOP +11.8%

MEM -9.9%

NOP +12.9%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	18.4	15.1	15.1	112.6	122.4	105.2
season	16.4	15.5		104.5	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.0	20.2	19.0	16.4	18.4
NOP	13.3	14.8	16.0	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	21	21	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-12	18	20.5	17.7	2.78	16.2	14.7	1.47
Kosta Koufos	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	18.3	18.4	-0.14	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Jerryd Bayless	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-8	10	18.8	18.1	0.72	16.2	14.2	2.01
Mike Miller	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	17.0	19.0	-1.98	16.2	14.6	1.67
Tony Allen	47	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	18.0	18.7	-0.71	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Tayshaun Prince	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-3	0	18.3	18.4	-0.11	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Zach Randolph	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-3	0	17.6	19.6	-2.00	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Ed Davis	42	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	2	-10	19.0	17.7	1.31	15.8	14.5	1.31
Jon Leuer	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	18.7	17.9	0.75	15.6	14.3	1.32
Mike Conley	66	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	6	-18	17.7	20.5	-2.78	14.7	16.2	-1.47

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-8	22	14.5	18.0	-3.49	18.1	20.0	-1.95
Jrue Holiday	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-2	10	14.4	17.9	-3.57	17.6	21.4	-3.71
Eric Gordon	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	14.9	15.7	-0.84	17.7	20.7	-3.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	4	-2	15.1	15.0	0.07	18.3	18.6	-0.35
Lou Amundson	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	3	0	17.4	13.9	3.49	19.9	17.6	2.34
Jason Smith	61	63	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	10	-14	14.1	17.5	-3.31	17.6	20.5	-2.94
Tyreke Evans	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-3	12	14.7	15.2	-0.43	20.2	17.8	2.47
Anthony Morrow	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	5	-4	16.4	14.4	2.04	19.9	17.5	2.44
Austin Rivers	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	15	-24	17.7	14.2	3.57	20.4	17.7	2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.1%
NYK 90, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.3%
DEN 67, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%