inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 110 Excitement3.6 [1101] MVPRay Allen (MIA): +16.0%
Detroit Pistons 95 Comeback1.0 [998] LVPBrandon Jennings (DET): -7.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.020.001075%0.1600.004100%0.02
Rashard Lewis0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.01-0.05590%0.131-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.02-0.081253%0.132-0.026100%0.02
Chris Andersen0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.03583%0.0500.002100%0.01
Norris Cole0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02567%0.072-0.042100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.04250%0.0210.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031569%0.106-0.10580%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.020,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.00750%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.000.07786%0.003-0.0300%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021168%0.081-0.00650%-0.03
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00967%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.03862%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.04483%0.051-0.03475%-0.01
Tony Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Harrellson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Peyton Siva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03333%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021040%0.002-0.05580%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001446%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.010.021454%0.046-0.11786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.730.317.629.02.825.5131.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +44.3%
MIA +7.7%
DET -14.7%
MIA +11.4%
MIA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game15.215.315.1117.0100.0105.2
season15.615.0109.7104.7
opponent15.015.8108.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.316.815.616.415.2
DET15.316.715.014.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier41420.55-0.050.59-0.1624-93313.316.6-3.2616.214.61.56
LeBron James73710.450.050.39-0.0818-32114.418.0-3.6915.115.8-0.72
Chris Bosh64630.420.080.34-0.0516-11714.716.3-1.6415.814.31.43
Ray Allen51490.400.100.31-0.041501513.916.7-2.8015.515.10.44
Mario Chalmers66650.380.120.26-0.0916-11714.816.2-1.4215.016.0-1.08
Norris Cole28300.120.38-0.260.15-116-1716.214.81.4216.015.01.08
Roger Mason Jr.43460.100.40-0.310.10015-1516.713.92.8015.115.5-0.44
Chris Andersen45470.070.43-0.350.05114-1316.014.51.4914.615.9-1.30
Udonis Haslem14150.030.47-0.440.09-217-1918.014.73.3114.715.4-0.67
James Jones450.000.50-0.500.09-318-2121.014.96.0812.215.5-3.27
Rashard Lewis4142-0.020.52-0.540.24-924-3316.913.83.1015.315.30.03

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Mitchell650.00-0.500.50-0.093-182112.715.5-2.8122.614.87.84
Gigi Datome1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-182113.615.6-2.0115.915.00.91
Jonas Jerebko4138-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-161713.716.5-2.8416.914.02.97
Peyton Siva2624-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-2-131116.015.00.9717.914.23.67
Josh Harrellson2018-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-12916.015.10.9618.414.43.97
Kyle Singler4340-0.12-0.380.25-0.10-1-141314.016.4-2.4116.214.41.82
Charlie Villanueva2723-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-9315.915.10.8317.214.52.70
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3437-0.31-0.19-0.110.11-14-1-1318.113.84.3013.416.4-3.02
Andre Drummond7475-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.06-12-3-915.116.0-0.9114.218.9-4.72
Brandon Jennings6970-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.04-13-2-1115.016.0-0.9714.217.9-3.67
Josh Smith6265-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-161-1715.115.6-0.5214.416.9-2.48
Greg Monroe5759-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.01-150-1516.513.62.9013.917.3-3.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 106, ATL 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
SAS 111, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
LAC 116, GSW 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%