NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	4.8 [863]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +20.9%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.1 [601]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -12.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	17	63%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.02	0.04	10	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	60%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	0%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	12	48%	-0.00	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.02	0.05	12	92%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.05	-0.04	20	60%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	5	30%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	55%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	30.2	16.5	23.5	2.4	30.6	128.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +56.8%

LAC -6.5%

LAC -0.6%

ATL +3.9%

LAC -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.7	15.1	105.4	115.1	105.2
season	14.3	14.8		111.0	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.6	14.0	14.7	14.5
ATL	16.9	16.0	17.3	16.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	13.2	14.5	-1.26	20.2	16.5	3.74
Antawn Jamison	21	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-14	18	11.1	15.5	-4.36	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Ryan Hollins	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-13	16	12.9	15.1	-2.20	16.9	16.5	0.38
Reggie Bullock	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-9	8	14.1	14.6	-0.46	16.9	16.6	0.35
Willie Green	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-7	4	14.1	14.7	-0.58	17.5	16.2	1.36
Darren Collison	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-9	8	13.4	15.5	-2.11	15.2	18.2	-2.93
Chris Paul	69	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.3	14.9	-0.55	16.9	15.8	1.17
Jamal Crawford	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	14.5	14.5	0.00	16.2	17.5	-1.36
DeAndre Jordan	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	0	-10	15.8	12.2	3.64	16.7	16.6	0.19
Jared Dudley	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	16.1	12.3	3.77	17.8	15.2	2.62
Blake Griffin	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	3	-16	14.9	13.1	1.80	16.9	16.1	0.79

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-10	30	16.5	17.3	-0.82	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Kyle Korver	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-9	28	17.1	15.8	1.29	14.9	13.5	1.37
Louis Williams	35	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-2	14	14.8	17.8	-2.99	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Al Horford	63	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	-2	14	16.6	16.8	-0.15	15.2	12.6	2.69
Shelvin Mack	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	5	0	16.4	16.9	-0.46	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Jeff Teague	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	17.2	16.0	1.13	14.8	14.0	0.79
DeMarre Carroll	61	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	12	-14	17.2	15.7	1.54	14.8	13.9	0.96
Elton Brand	34	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	17	-24	16.9	16.5	0.43	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Mike Scott	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	17	-24	17.1	16.6	0.48	14.9	14.4	0.56
Cartier Martin	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	18	-26	16.2	16.8	-0.57	12.1	15.0	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	95.4%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
IND 100, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%