NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	131		Excitement	18.1 [1]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +76.7%
Chicago Bulls	128		Comeback	19.9 [48]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -31.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.77	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.77,0.77	0.28	0.51	0.02	20	80%	0.88	1	-0.12	5	100%	0.11
Jrue Holiday	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.17	-0.05	0.21	-0.01	22	42%	0.22	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Morrow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Withey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.13,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.17,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	23	43%	0.28	2	-0.28	8	87%	0.03
Tyreke Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jason Smith	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.08	-0.18	-0.01	17	35%	-0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.5	0.50	0.05	0.45	-0.00	12	66%	0.58	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	14	70%	0.36	2	-0.12	5	60%	-0.06
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.03,-0.13,-0.16,0,0,0,-0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	27	57%	0.61	7	-0.52	11	64%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.12	0.00	19	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.19	0.02	15	37%	-0.23	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	27.2	15.8	27.0	1.8	35.2	1.8	15.7	0.8	21.6	1.6	21.1	193.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +32.7%

CHI -17.6%

CHI -9.3%

NOP +25.7%

NOP +18.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	17.7	15.1	115.9	113.3	105.2
season	15.5	16.3		105.6	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		99.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	14.9	16.3	16.0	17.6	14.6	15.8
CHI	18.5	16.4	16.7	19.3	17.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	82	81	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.41	15	-12	27	14.8	18.2	-3.35	18.1	16.6	1.49
Jrue Holiday	90	89	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-10	23	14.9	19.0	-4.07	17.8	17.4	0.35
Ryan Anderson	102	101	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	15.5	18.0	-2.48	17.7	17.3	0.40
Tyreke Evans	42	43	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	1	1	15.5	15.9	-0.42	18.0	17.5	0.54
Al-Farouq Aminu	76	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	0	3	15.8	15.7	0.05	17.5	18.0	-0.44
Jason Smith	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	-4	11	15.6	16.2	-0.65	18.3	15.8	2.51
Jeff Withey	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.7	1.35	16.1	17.8	-1.72
Anthony Morrow	32	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.03	-9	12	-21	17.8	15.0	2.82	15.7	18.6	-2.82
Brian Roberts	23	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	13	-23	19.0	14.9	4.07	17.4	17.8	-0.35
Lou Amundson	24	26	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.14	-9	12	-21	17.7	15.2	2.53	17.2	17.8	-0.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	84	86	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.13	16	-19	35	17.5	18.2	-0.69	16.4	13.8	2.56
Mike James	17	17	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-7	11	18.8	17.5	1.33	17.0	15.5	1.46
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-5	7	16.1	17.8	-1.72	17.0	15.7	1.35
Marquis Teague	0	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	0.0	17.7	-17.69	5.0	15.9	-10.86
Carlos Boozer	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	1	-5	17.9	17.5	0.36	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Kirk Hinrich	88	86	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	17.6	17.9	-0.24	15.3	17.1	-1.77
Taj Gibson	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.66	8	-11	19	17.3	18.6	-1.28	16.6	13.9	2.68
Tony Snell	43	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	8	-19	17.4	17.9	-0.48	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Luol Deng	99	101	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	6	-15	18.0	15.7	2.26	15.6	16.7	-1.11
Joakim Noah	91	91	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.40	-14	11	-25	18.1	16.1	1.99	15.4	17.4	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.77,0.92,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 119, TOR 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.67,0.58,0	85.8%
LAC 115, TOR 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.56,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.37,0.34,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.85,0.58,0	85.4%
IND 102, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.05,0	85.3%