inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement8.7 [162] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +20.3%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback4.1 [376] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -19.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.090.11-0.001362%0.2000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01075%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.040.011055%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00325%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
DeJuan Blair-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.00-0.001233%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.24,0.18,-0.090.08-0.140.022251%-0.0900.009100%0.08
Monta Ellis-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.10.07-0.140.031469%0.004-0.10887%0.05
Shawn Marion-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.060.00833%-0.042-0.092100%0.01
Jae Crowder-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.09-0.11-0.0130%-0.092-0.1000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.100.02790%0.253-0.07667%-0.02
Randy Foye0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.2,0.10.100.050.060.011361%0.202-0.102100%0.02
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.02-0.03771%0.1010.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.01671%0.0800.002100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.021059%0.104-0.081457%-0.13
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01275%0.073-0.064100%0.02
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00837%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.090.0020%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.08-0.001531%-0.112-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.832.015.725.12.542.2144.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +71.0%
DAL -16.7%
DEN +2.1%
DAL -9.1%
DEN +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game14.613.715.198.0101.0105.2
season15.314.0109.0104.5
opponent14.915.0106.4107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.512.714.416.214.6
DEN12.713.013.815.813.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington1313-0.06-0.440.37-0.060-2215.714.51.2114.613.61.01
Samuel Dalembert4848-0.10-0.400.30-0.162-4613.815.4-1.5613.414.0-0.64
Shawn Marion6968-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-20-214.315.3-0.9813.514.2-0.71
Shane Larkin2929-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-31-415.014.50.4614.813.31.54
Jae Crowder2829-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-5813.914.9-0.9815.013.21.83
Dirk Nowitzki7474-0.23-0.270.03-0.5310-122214.315.4-1.0913.514.4-0.92
Monta Ellis7372-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.401-3414.515.0-0.4613.314.8-1.54
Jose Calderon7372-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.401-3414.515.0-0.4613.314.8-1.54
DeJuan Blair5453-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-42-615.413.81.5614.013.40.64
Vince Carter4947-0.570.07-0.65-0.05-1816-3415.913.52.3514.113.40.66

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried64650.58-0.080.660.5220213.713.8-0.1714.714.50.28
Ty Lawson82810.57-0.070.650.464-2613.215.9-2.7314.714.30.44
Randy Foye61610.53-0.030.550.4720213.713.70.0115.114.01.11
Andre Miller31310.290.210.080.116-41015.413.02.4315.214.40.85
Wilson Chandler64650.250.250.000.49-810-1813.713.8-0.1214.215.3-1.08
Jordan Hamilton26250.210.29-0.08-0.0810-81812.614.1-1.5614.614.60.00
Darrell Arthur34360.180.32-0.150.064-2613.314.0-0.6614.814.50.30
Timofey Mozgov28280.050.45-0.41-0.074-2612.814.1-1.2614.714.60.06
JJ Hickson6161-0.030.53-0.560.32-1214-2614.412.61.7914.115.4-1.26
Evan Fournier2123-0.040.54-0.59-0.0402-213.713.7-0.0214.714.60.08
Nate Robinson3334-0.080.58-0.67-0.02-24-614.513.41.0714.314.8-0.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 94, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.72,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,192.3%
SEA 74, MIA 820.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.84,190.9%
NJN 94, CHI 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,190.8%