NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	5.1 [832]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +16.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.6 [358]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -13.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.07	13	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.07
Nemanja Nedovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	20	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	8	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	17	50%	0.00	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.06	0.03	15	60%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	78%	0.11	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	29.3	17.4	26.5	3.4	32.4	137.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.3%

LAL +6.4%

GSW -10.7%

LAL +20.6%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	15.1	99.0	105.2	105.2
season	14.2	14.0		105.9	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		108.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	14.7	14.6	13.7	14.4
LAL	14.9	14.7	17.3	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	64	65	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-20	33	14.0	15.2	-1.22	16.3	13.7	2.56
Andre Iguodala	56	57	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-12	17	14.4	14.4	0.00	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	3.5	14.6	-11.11	6.0	15.7	-9.66
Nemanja Nedovic	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-2	-3	13.8	14.4	-0.63	13.5	15.7	-2.16
David Lee	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.7	14.1	1.60
Klay Thompson	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.4	15.8	-0.35
Kent Bazemore	16	17	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	5	-17	12.8	14.7	-1.88	15.9	15.4	0.51
Marreese Speights	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	6	-19	16.0	13.9	2.02	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Harrison Barnes	90	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.7	9.3	5.38	15.2	18.7	-3.58
Draymond Green	53	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.8	13.9	0.85	15.7	15.1	0.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	62	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	15.7	15.0	0.68	14.6	13.9	0.68
Jordan Farmar	35	36	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-14	35	15.6	15.4	0.21	16.7	13.0	3.67
Xavier Henry	38	39	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-11	29	14.8	15.9	-1.07	16.3	13.1	3.21
Pau Gasol	79	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	15.8	14.1	1.73	13.6	17.6	-4.06
Shawne Williams	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-3	13	16.7	14.8	1.96	15.9	13.5	2.38
Jordan Hill	68	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	12	-17	14.9	16.8	-1.85	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Wesley Johnson	48	48	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	5	-3	14.5	16.4	-1.91	14.5	14.2	0.25
Jodie Meeks	59	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	18	-29	15.9	14.8	1.07	13.1	16.3	-3.21
Steve Blake	62	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.32	-14	21	-35	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.0	16.7	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.1%
LAL 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%