inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 102 Excitement6.0 [627] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +17.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Comeback1.3 [734] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -13.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.03-0.031358%0.111-0.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.07-0.00747%0.0900.001100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.00764%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.031074%0.162-0.073100%0.01
Patty Mills0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00256%0.0700.00560%-0.02
Tony Parker0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.060.041462%0.144-0.11450%-0.00
Jeff Ayres0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00475%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.020.011155%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01842%0.001-0.02367%-0.01
Danny Green-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.0220%-0.033-0.0500%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.050.021970%0.222-0.052100%0.02
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.00467%0.091-0.0210%-0.03
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.03837%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.020.01955%0.073-0.084100%0.02
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.011338%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.02533%-0.042-0.04250%-0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.06-0.021542%-0.014-0.13875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.33.729.216.626.43.337.3139.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +46.3%
SAS +4.8%
SAS +1.3%
MEM -0.6%
MEM -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.316.715.1114.694.5105.2
season15.016.4109.8104.5
opponent15.215.0103.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.815.217.515.915.3
MEM16.518.216.016.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili47510.350.150.21-0.1718-22015.215.3-0.0816.816.60.16
Patty Mills22250.340.160.18-0.071421213.116.0-2.8917.816.31.44
Boris Diaw33340.320.180.140.0988014.315.8-1.4918.115.92.19
Jeff Ayres30300.280.220.06-0.01106414.515.7-1.1617.616.31.32
Tiago Splitter50510.270.230.040.0779-215.315.20.1616.117.5-1.45
Marco Belinelli37370.250.250.00-0.04106414.915.5-0.6517.915.92.03
Tim Duncan59610.210.29-0.070.04610-415.714.51.1616.317.6-1.32
Kawhi Leonard62630.190.31-0.120.07412-815.514.70.8716.317.6-1.34
Tony Parker67660.160.34-0.180.10214-1216.013.12.8916.317.8-1.44
Danny Green34330.060.44-0.380.18-420-2415.615.10.5215.917.2-1.26
Matt Bonner440.060.44-0.38-0.09511-619.215.14.1714.216.8-2.58

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen53530.05-0.550.59-0.167-233016.517.1-0.6315.914.41.53
Marc Gasol2120-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-131017.516.50.9912.916.0-3.06
Quincy Pondexter1414-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-141219.316.23.0413.615.6-1.93
Jerryd Bayless2726-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-131016.616.8-0.1715.815.10.71
Kosta Koufos5451-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-7-217.116.11.0215.115.5-0.45
Ed Davis2728-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-8016.816.70.0916.014.91.12
Mike Conley7271-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.01-12-4-816.417.7-1.2915.613.81.87
Mike Miller4442-0.44-0.06-0.370.12-193-2217.416.01.3914.915.6-0.65
Zach Randolph7473-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-15-1-1416.418.1-1.7315.414.50.94
Tayshaun Prince6967-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-160-1616.018.9-2.8315.115.8-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, MEM 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.02,0,093.4%
POR 91, CHA 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.04,0,0,093.2%
PHX 97, HOU 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.03,0,0.01,0,092.9%