inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 118 Excitement8.4 [203] MVPDamian Lillard (POR): +27.1%
Toronto Raptors 110 Comeback2.6 [401] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -21.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.27,0.270.030.24-0.002254%0.353-0.082100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0.140,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.140.130.030.021573%0.283-0.143100%0.01
Robin Lopez0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01275%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Wesley Matthews0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.11-0.070.021265%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Joel Freeland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.022741%-0.0600.00743%-0.09
Dorell Wright-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mo Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.080.02781%0.114-0.172100%0.00
Thomas Robinson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02825%-0.073-0.0400%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.260.26-0.000.320.062749%0.333-0.07771%0.03
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00367%0.0500.00367%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Dwight Buycks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00362%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.09-0.070.031176%0.093-0.103100%0.01
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.011138%-0.0600.00475%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.07-0.00567%0.063-0.142100%0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.11-0.0130%-0.1500.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.120.042747%-0.114-0.11875%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.71.832.515.726.21.639.81.520.4162.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +59.2%
TOR -17.2%
TOR -4.5%
POR +3.4%
POR +9.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORTORNBAPORTORNBA
this game15.513.815.1109.3100.9105.2
season15.115.9109.6107.2
opponent15.114.8104.2106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
POR16.117.015.615.112.215.5
TOR15.912.015.113.711.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams68700.490.010.470.0515-72214.417.4-3.0712.915.5-2.55
LaMarcus Aldridge85860.400.100.300.1780815.415.8-0.3713.814.0-0.17
Nicolas Batum82840.370.130.250.1771615.914.21.7613.614.7-1.16
Joel Freeland24240.370.130.230.0411-31416.015.30.6514.013.80.22
Wesley Matthews78790.340.160.180.1662416.213.82.3913.714.2-0.56
Damian Lillard86860.210.28-0.070.30-311-1415.914.01.9313.813.9-0.11
Dorell Wright30300.160.34-0.180.1026-413.816.2-2.3914.213.70.56
Thomas Robinson39390.130.37-0.250.1017-615.415.5-0.1313.614.0-0.37
Robin Lopez48470.030.47-0.430.24-715-2215.615.40.2415.912.33.60

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross3029-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-7612.314.4-2.0615.715.40.27
Steve Novak1618-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-121612.114.1-1.9913.415.9-2.52
Quincy Acy1415-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-5214.613.70.8613.415.8-2.43
Dwight Buycks1916-0.11-0.390.270.09-7-1-613.513.9-0.4314.115.7-1.60
Tyler Hansbrough3735-0.15-0.350.19-0.10-2-6414.213.60.5513.516.4-2.88
Landry Fields2019-0.20-0.300.090.09-102-1212.314.2-1.8714.015.8-1.81
Amir Johnson6968-0.23-0.270.04-0.09-5-3-213.813.9-0.0816.613.53.08
DeMar DeRozan9594-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.22-2-6413.913.10.8716.111.44.75
Jonas Valanciunas6868-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.25-4-4014.412.81.6016.513.72.84
Kyle Lowry9192-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-7613.714.2-0.4715.714.11.60
Rudy Gay8686-0.560.06-0.62-0.30-91-1014.312.02.3714.917.6-2.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.43,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 104, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.05,093.2%
DAL 107, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.08,091.6%
SEA 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,089.9%