NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	4.6 [899]		MVP	CJ Miles (CLE): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.1 [808]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -35.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	16	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	22%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	7	22%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	12	29%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	11	35%	-0.15	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Love	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.35	-0.07	-0.24	0.04	20	41%	-0.31	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	73%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	13	41%	-0.01	6	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	15	50%	-0.06	9	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	27.1	14.8	24.8	1.8	30.1	122.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.9%

MIN -2.9%

CLE +5.4%

MIN -7.0%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	14.3	15.1	90.2	91.2	105.2
season	14.6	15.2		107.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.5		106.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.8	14.9	11.7	13.9
CLE	13.5	12.9	13.9	17.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	1	-3	12.6	14.0	-1.40	17.0	14.1	2.86
Ricky Rubio	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	2	-5	14.7	13.0	1.78	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Kevin Martin	76	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.55	11	-12	23	13.8	14.2	-0.35	13.2	17.4	-4.13
Alexey Shved	17	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.10	-12	11	-23	14.4	13.8	0.51	14.6	14.2	0.34
Dante Cunningham	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	8	-17	13.7	14.0	-0.29	16.5	13.4	3.11
Corey Brewer	81	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.57	11	-12	23	13.8	14.4	-0.63	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Jose Juan Barea	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-3	5	13.0	14.7	-1.78	16.0	12.9	3.07
Derrick Williams	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-3	5	13.0	14.7	-1.78	16.0	12.9	3.07
Kevin Love	79	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-8	15	14.0	13.8	0.19	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Nikola Pekovic	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	11	-23	14.8	11.6	3.23	14.2	14.7	-0.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-2	5	13.8	16.1	-2.34	14.2	12.8	1.48
Jarrett Jack	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	15.7	12.9	2.76	14.6	13.3	1.27
Alonzo Gee	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.55	-8	9	-17	15.2	12.4	2.80	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Anderson Varejao	67	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	3	-5	13.0	16.7	-3.67	13.5	14.9	-1.43
CJ Miles	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-7	15	16.4	13.1	3.33	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Kyrie Irving	73	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	6	-11	13.4	16.7	-3.33	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Dion Waiters	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-7	15	12.5	15.9	-3.37	14.3	13.7	0.60
Andrew Bynum	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-2	5	16.7	13.0	3.67	14.9	13.5	1.43
Anthony Bennett	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	1	-1	16.8	13.7	3.10	13.2	14.1	-0.91
Earl Clark	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-2	5	12.2	15.0	-2.89	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Tyler Zeller	2	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	3	-5	9.5	14.4	-4.90	8.5	14.0	-5.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 93, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.5%
SAC 93, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%