inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 90 Excitement3.2 [1174] MVPRudy Gay (TOR): +11.0%
Toronto Raptors 114 Comeback1.1 [1074] LVPAvery Bradley (BOS): -4.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.070,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.02773%0.0700.0010%-0.02
Jordan Crawford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.011453%0.042-0.012100%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fab Melo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021040%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Shavlik Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Terrence Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.031440%-0.021-0.0020%-0.00
Jeff Green-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.01764%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00837%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
DJ White-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.000.05744%-0.0500.004100%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.011050%0.033-0.082100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.001461%0.1100.003100%0.01
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.041067%0.0700.004100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.19-0.010.121377%0.0500.005100%0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00460%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.001064%0.074-0.06875%0.01
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01850%0.011-0.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04440%0.0110.0020%-0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.03945%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00175%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.027.015.823.22.427.5122.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +21.7%
TOR +10.5%
TOR +7.5%
TOR +8.0%
TOR +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game15.414.915.494.7120.0104.1
season14.916.1101.2104.4
opponent15.316.2105.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.116.315.416.115.4
TOR13.113.715.318.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fab Melo3231-0.03-0.470.440.11-5-191415.015.6-0.6317.713.54.18
Shavlik Randolph2726-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-191416.315.11.1712.615.8-3.19
DJ White5251-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-13216.614.02.5515.614.11.54
Terrence Williams5152-0.17-0.330.170.13-10-14416.114.71.3815.813.72.10
Paul Pierce3132-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-171013.916.1-2.2114.315.2-0.93
Jordan Crawford6868-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-13216.213.62.6115.812.53.32
Chris Wilcox2728-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-11-215.515.40.0814.215.2-1.02
Courtney Lee5957-0.27-0.23-0.050.19-16-8-815.814.81.0415.214.40.75
Brandon Bass3940-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-12014.216.2-2.0213.615.9-2.28
Jeff Green3838-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-10-413.716.5-2.8113.315.9-2.63
Avery Bradley5152-0.40-0.10-0.290.07-16-8-815.015.9-0.8714.115.9-1.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valanciunas59590.420.080.34-0.172041614.315.8-1.5114.716.7-2.01
DeMar DeRozan60610.400.100.29-0.282312214.315.9-1.6614.517.1-2.64
Amir Johnson49490.370.130.23-0.161861212.817.1-4.3316.014.81.20
Kyle Lowry49470.370.130.23-0.131771013.816.1-2.2714.116.7-2.60
Rudy Gay55540.300.200.10-0.14159613.816.3-2.5114.616.4-1.79
Landry Fields51520.270.230.05-0.021014-416.113.52.6416.014.81.19
Quincy Acy47470.140.36-0.23-0.13915-616.013.82.2315.815.00.81
John Lucas III46480.130.37-0.23-0.07717-1016.113.82.2716.714.12.60
Alan Anderson35340.100.40-0.290.08123-2215.914.31.6617.114.52.64
Aaron Gray24240.010.49-0.490.01024-2418.213.84.4315.915.30.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 92, ATL 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MIL 85, WAS 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.4%
MEM 79, DAL 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%