inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 114 Excitement4.6 [918] MVPWilson Chandler (DEN): +14.7%
Denver Nuggets 132 Comeback2.8 [728] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -8.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.030.01967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.01-0.05675%0.084-0.02475%0.01
Jeremy Lin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.040.031564%0.071-0.02683%0.01
James Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.021148%0.031-0.0010%-0.01
Greg Smith0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02643%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Patrick Beverley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.033117%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001152%0.042-0.04333%-0.02
Aaron Brooks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05570%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04436%-0.0110.00617%-0.00
Omer Asik-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.00367%0.023-0.0900%0.00
James Harden-0.090,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.011047%-0.023-0.0710100%0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.040.041568%0.1500.0010%-0.02
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.00-0.061461%0.132-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.011059%0.111-0.02250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.01475%0.0800.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.011362%0.102-0.05367%-0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.051656%0.0410.00786%0.01
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.031064%0.051-0.0220%0.00
Quincy Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.01850%-0.0010.00667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.029.016.028.32.328.4133.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +35.0%
HOU -3.2%
DEN +5.0%
DEN +13.1%
DEN +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game14.214.115.4112.9129.4104.1
season14.214.4107.9108.4
opponent15.415.4104.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU12.317.515.212.414.2
DEN15.412.514.813.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks2223-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-202211.715.0-3.2814.014.2-0.22
Thomas Robinson2728-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-192012.414.9-2.5113.714.3-0.52
James Anderson4951-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-141011.916.5-4.5613.015.3-2.33
Terrence Jones6060-0.11-0.390.270.06-6-12614.613.70.9913.814.6-0.88
Patrick Beverley5253-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-10212.216.4-4.2412.515.9-3.33
Omer Asik5151-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-13816.212.24.0216.012.33.71
Greg Smith2525-0.27-0.23-0.030.09-12-6-615.014.01.0016.013.52.48
James Harden5556-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-12615.812.43.4515.512.53.00
Donatas Motiejunas3940-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-4-1011.815.8-3.9511.415.9-4.49
Francisco Garcia5654-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-3-1216.012.03.9714.713.51.26
Jeremy Lin6969-0.560.06-0.620.11-235-2815.611.34.2514.712.91.80

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Brewer62620.460.040.43-0.2123-52813.015.9-3.0014.613.60.99
Wilson Chandler58560.400.100.30-0.2221-32415.512.33.2216.311.74.65
Kenneth Faried47470.370.130.250.02126615.512.92.5716.012.73.24
Evan Fournier55540.370.130.24-0.2220-22212.216.4-4.2613.315.4-2.08
Andre Iguodala76750.320.180.14-0.091441014.712.52.1314.613.21.37
JaVale McGee22220.210.29-0.08-0.1111749.915.3-5.3813.314.5-1.19
Kosta Koufos36370.190.31-0.120.10315-1216.512.83.6716.013.22.77
Andre Miller59610.130.37-0.230.10117-1615.712.03.6815.412.43.02
Anthony Randolph53510.040.46-0.43-0.05315-1213.215.1-1.8811.916.6-4.66
Quincy Miller1090.000.50-0.500.21-725-3213.314.2-0.928.314.8-6.49
Jordan Hamilton14130.000.50-0.500.12-422-2613.114.3-1.229.115.0-5.93
Timofey Mozgov18180.000.50-0.500.21-725-3213.114.4-1.3010.115.1-5.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 86, LAC 1080.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
PHI 78, DET 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%
SAC 93, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%