NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.1 [796]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +23.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.0 [532]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -10.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.04	-0.01	14	74%	0.23	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Paul George	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.06
George Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.03	8	72%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	1	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Orlando Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	19	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	82%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	63%	0.15	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.03	6	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	12	33%	0.03	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.2	15.8	28.2	2.6	50.4	153.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.8%

LAC -3.6%

LAC -1.7%

IND +7.3%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.4	119.8	117.8	104.1
season	16.1	15.6		102.4	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	16.2	17.1	16.8	16.8
LAC	18.9	16.5	13.4	12.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	67	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.16	18	-15	33	16.9	16.7	0.14	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Roy Hibbert	55	58	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.07	21	-18	39	18.0	15.0	2.95	16.4	12.4	4.07
George Hill	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-6	15	16.7	17.1	-0.37	14.9	15.3	-0.35
Lance Stephenson	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-2	7	16.4	18.3	-1.97	14.3	17.6	-3.34
Paul George	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	1	1	16.8	17.0	-0.21	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Sam Young	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	4	-5	15.3	17.0	-1.70	16.4	14.8	1.60
D.J. Augustin	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	7	-11	17.1	16.7	0.37	15.3	14.9	0.35
Orlando Johnson	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	7	-11	18.3	16.4	1.97	17.6	14.3	3.34
Ian Mahinmi	27	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	15	-27	17.5	16.5	1.00	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Jeff Ayres	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.03	-3	6	-9	0.0	17.0	-17.00	3.0	15.1	-12.13
Tyler Hansbrough	31	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.34	-16	19	-35	15.1	17.7	-2.55	13.7	15.6	-1.90

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	54	57	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.53	21	-24	45	13.2	17.7	-4.54	16.4	17.5	-1.10
Lamar Odom	38	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.54	19	-22	41	13.7	16.0	-2.28	18.1	15.9	2.18
Eric Bledsoe	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.62	20	-23	43	13.3	16.3	-3.02	18.3	15.7	2.61
Ryan Hollins	58	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	11	-14	25	14.5	15.8	-1.31	17.8	15.1	2.70
Caron Butler	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	8	-19	17.0	13.9	3.10	16.3	17.1	-0.72
Matt Barnes	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	14.4	15.8	-1.40	16.9	16.7	0.25
Willie Green	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	12	-27	17.5	13.3	4.17	16.5	17.0	-0.47
DeAndre Jordan	28	28	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	15	-33	17.9	13.7	4.15	17.4	16.5	0.89
Chris Paul	59	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.09	-22	19	-41	15.3	14.4	0.89	15.7	18.9	-3.12
Blake Griffin	54	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.08	-23	20	-43	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.5	18.9	-3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0,0	95.0%
ORL 95, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.08,0	94.2%
SAS 93, POR 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%