NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	4.3 [983]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +12.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.1 [1048]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -13.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	0.07	7	50%	-0.08	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.04	0.03	12	72%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.03	-0.09	11	64%	0.15	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.3	15.8	27.0	2.4	33.6	131.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.2%

MEM +9.6%

MEM +3.2%

MEM +3.8%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.4	108.0	115.7	104.1
season	14.2	16.5		107.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.3	19.2	16.6	13.2	16.5
MEM	14.8	15.0	17.7	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	38	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-15	21	14.9	17.8	-2.86	15.4	16.9	-1.50
James Anderson	40	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-16	23	14.4	18.3	-3.85	16.6	15.9	0.79
Greg Smith	43	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-16	23	15.3	17.7	-2.47	17.9	14.4	3.49
Patrick Beverley	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-14	19	14.8	18.5	-3.74	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Carlos Delfino	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-13	17	15.1	18.7	-3.58	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Donatas Motiejunas	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	2	-13	17.4	15.7	1.75	16.3	16.2	0.14
Jeremy Lin	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	5	-19	18.5	14.8	3.74	16.4	16.1	0.32
Omer Asik	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	7	-23	17.8	15.3	2.49	14.8	17.5	-2.77
James Harden	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.06	-16	7	-23	18.3	14.4	3.85	15.9	16.6	-0.79
Chandler Parsons	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	8	-25	18.7	14.3	4.43	16.7	15.8	0.95

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-9	27	16.4	15.7	0.69	17.5	12.7	4.77
Marc Gasol	70	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-10	29	16.8	14.1	2.76	17.0	14.8	2.13
Mike Conley	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-10	29	17.2	13.8	3.37	17.1	14.9	2.19
Zach Randolph	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-2	13	16.3	16.1	0.17	17.3	14.6	2.75
Tony Allen	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	3	3	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.6	16.4	0.15
Jerryd Bayless	49	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	13	-17	15.4	17.2	-1.77	15.5	17.7	-2.26
Darrell Arthur	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	12	-15	14.9	16.5	-1.59	14.9	16.9	-2.02
Ed Davis	29	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	18	-27	16.0	16.3	-0.33	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Quincy Pondexter	33	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.31	-12	21	-33	15.0	17.0	-1.99	14.6	17.6	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 85, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 76, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%