NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.7 [460]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (MIN): -9.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	11	65%	0.15	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	16	65%	0.18	3	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	15	59%	0.16	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	17	47%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.04	18	70%	0.15	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	58%	0.09	1	-0.00	10	70%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	9	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	25.9	15.0	23.2	2.5	35.4	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.7%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +29.7%

MIN -3.4%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	13.8	15.4	111.8	105.4	104.1
season	16.6	15.6		101.7	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		103.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.3	16.7	17.1	17.2	17.3
MIN	16.0	14.6	13.4	11.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-7	21	16.7	18.7	-1.92	14.0	13.3	0.65
Luol Deng	77	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	16.8	19.7	-2.88	13.8	13.7	0.15
Jimmy Butler	85	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	0	7	17.5	15.6	1.83	13.7	15.4	-1.75
Taj Gibson	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	16.9	17.8	-0.88	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Carlos Boozer	68	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.19	4	3	1	18.2	14.8	3.42	14.1	12.9	1.23
Nazr Mohammed	41	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	18.2	16.6	1.64	15.1	12.8	2.28
Daequan Cook	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	4	-1	16.2	17.9	-1.66	12.9	14.3	-1.35
Kirk Hinrich	49	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	17	-27	17.6	16.9	0.70	12.9	14.7	-1.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-10	13	12.5	13.8	-1.34	11.5	17.4	-5.93
Chris Johnson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-10	13	12.5	13.8	-1.34	11.5	17.4	-5.93
Greg Stiemsma	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.2	13.7	0.53	17.0	17.4	-0.36
Andrei Kirilenko	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-4	1	13.6	14.1	-0.48	18.0	16.5	1.43
Luke Ridnour	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	13.8	13.8	-0.05	17.8	16.7	1.09
Jose Juan Barea	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	13.6	13.9	-0.31	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Nikola Pekovic	58	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	14.1	13.3	0.87	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Alexey Shved	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	13.9	13.8	0.11	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Chase Budinger	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	2	-11	13.7	13.9	-0.15	16.5	17.8	-1.31
Dante Cunningham	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.37	17.0	17.5	-0.49
Derrick Williams	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.26	-3	-4	1	13.6	14.7	-1.06	17.5	16.7	0.79
Ricky Rubio	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	0	-7	14.2	13.1	1.13	18.0	16.0	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 111, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	94.5%
MIA 115, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%