inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 77 Excitement4.1 [1020] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +20.6%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback2.3 [651] LVPByron Mullens (CHA): -9.1%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.01-0.042142%0.052-0.03667%-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.010,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.000.04865%0.031-0.02475%-0.01
Reggie Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Adrien-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01330%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Jeff Taylor-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.041233%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.11-0.00-0.0770%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02425%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Gerald Henderson-0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.021845%-0.042-0.04450%-0.03
Jannero Pargo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.02736%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Byron Mullens-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01831%-0.032-0.0600%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.180.020.001482%0.294-0.091191%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.011250%0.0600.00683%0.02
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03650%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.023100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.12-0.000.10975%0.0100.002100%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.010.08978%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.000.05750%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01420%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.728.416.032.12.525.3131.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +27.8%
MIA +15.4%
CHA -4.8%
MIA +10.1%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game15.714.915.482.8114.7104.1
season15.615.799.9110.2
opponent15.915.4102.4109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.414.417.414.815.7
MIA15.714.413.915.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Williams670.00-0.500.500.15-5-272211.516.0-4.4915.714.90.83
Bismack Biyombo7373-0.03-0.470.430.20-8-241615.815.20.5714.815.4-0.60
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist6464-0.13-0.370.250.11-8-241615.715.7-0.0414.316.3-1.95
Gerald Henderson6971-0.15-0.350.210.18-11-211015.715.70.0414.915.0-0.07
Jeff Adrien2526-0.17-0.330.150.15-11-211015.415.8-0.4115.514.70.81
Ben Gordon3131-0.27-0.23-0.050.37-22-10-1216.515.31.2715.514.70.80
Kemba Walker7072-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-221215.616.1-0.5215.014.90.05
Jeff Taylor5253-0.35-0.15-0.200.50-29-3-2615.116.4-1.2815.614.11.53
Jannero Pargo3334-0.47-0.03-0.430.44-31-1-3015.515.8-0.2415.014.90.08
Byron Mullens4244-0.630.13-0.770.10-25-7-1816.714.91.7614.415.4-1.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen43440.60-0.100.70-0.3733-13415.414.50.9016.614.91.74
Shane Battier49500.56-0.060.63-0.353113015.214.70.5316.215.11.17
LeBron James66650.400.100.30-0.2522101214.715.6-0.9716.813.23.55
Norris Cole41420.390.110.29-0.5733-13415.414.60.7415.815.60.16
Chris Andersen31300.320.180.13-0.211814415.814.51.2816.015.60.44
Chris Bosh63620.180.32-0.130.04527-2214.715.3-0.6015.516.0-0.45
Rashard Lewis30300.170.33-0.16-0.301616014.715.1-0.4114.116.4-2.31
Mario Chalmers54510.110.39-0.290.13-133-3414.615.4-0.7415.615.8-0.16
Juwan Howard760.000.50-0.50-0.15527-2215.714.90.8311.516.0-4.49
James Jones760.000.50-0.50-0.15527-2215.714.90.8311.516.0-4.49
Joel Anthony760.000.50-0.50-0.15527-2215.714.90.8311.516.0-4.49
Mike Miller4442-0.100.60-0.710.07-638-4414.515.3-0.8315.615.8-0.23
Udonis Haslem3331-0.130.63-0.760.05-638-4414.515.2-0.7615.415.8-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 90, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
LAL 89, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
MIL 83, MEM 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%