NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	4.5 [926]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): +23.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	2.0 [966]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -8.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	17	68%	0.16	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05	0.07	0.03	0.04	13	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.03
Terrence Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	112%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
DJ White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.06	-0.03	20	67%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Darrell Arthur	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	14	58%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.03	13	47%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	13	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	33.2	15.8	23.3	2.4	47.6	150.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +10.4%

MEM +12.7%

MEM +13.5%

MEM +16.4%

BOS -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.4	114.0	117.0	104.1
season	14.9	16.5		101.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		99.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	17.4	13.7	11.5	14.6
MEM	15.8	14.5	17.7	16.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	14	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.37	14	-18	32	11.9	15.1	-3.22	20.4	15.5	4.97
Shavlik Randolph	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-15	26	13.7	14.8	-1.02	20.5	15.4	5.15
Brandon Bass	59	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.28	5	-9	14	15.0	13.8	1.21	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Paul Pierce	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.8	-0.29	16.0	16.7	-0.78
Terrence Williams	41	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-4	4	14.2	14.9	-0.75	17.4	15.1	2.31
Chris Wilcox	26	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	6	-16	14.7	14.5	0.19	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Jordan Crawford	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	13.6	15.9	-2.38	16.4	16.0	0.39
Avery Bradley	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	8	-20	15.4	13.7	1.66	14.9	17.7	-2.84
Jason Terry	54	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	11	-26	15.4	13.4	2.03	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Jeff Green	88	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.8	11.6	3.16	16.2	15.8	0.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	16.1	16.6	-0.51	14.6	14.4	0.21
Zach Randolph	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	4	-4	16.9	15.0	1.87	14.7	14.4	0.28
Mike Conley	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	6	-8	15.6	18.4	-2.78	14.0	16.9	-2.85
Tony Allen	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-7	18	16.1	16.5	-0.41	15.2	13.3	1.81
Darrell Arthur	58	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	4	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.12	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Quincy Pondexter	34	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-5	14	16.9	15.8	1.11	14.9	14.4	0.48
Ed Davis	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	0	4	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.4	14.1	1.31
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.40	-9	13	-22	16.6	15.0	1.61	14.2	15.7	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 82, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHX 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%