NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	3.7 [1033]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +15.8%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	2.1 [345]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -7.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	-0.00	0.02	24	63%	0.18	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.02	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	74%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	23	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	11	23%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.3	15.8	24.0	2.5	26.2	127.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.4%

PHX -5.3%

HOU +11.3%

HOU +18.8%

PHX -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	17.3	15.4	103.4	113.5	105.7
season	13.8	16.2		111.1	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	14.9	15.0	17.0	15.4
HOU	19.4	15.7	16.9	17.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Strawberry	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	11.3	15.6	-4.26	15.0	17.3	-2.34
Brian Skinner	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-5	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.38	12.5	17.6	-5.10
Gordan Giricek	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-14	17	16.2	15.0	1.20	17.1	17.4	-0.30
Shaquille O'Neal	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-9	7	15.3	15.7	-0.38	17.8	16.2	1.65
Grant Hill	54	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.9	16.3	-1.38	17.0	17.7	-0.62
Boris Diaw	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-7	3	15.8	15.2	0.61	17.1	17.4	-0.37
Steve Nash	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	5	-21	15.2	15.9	-0.66	17.2	17.3	-0.06
Raja Bell	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.88	17.7	16.2	1.47
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.7	-0.25	17.7	14.7	3.00
Leandro Barbosa	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	16.4	14.1	2.33	16.7	17.9	-1.23

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-1	13	17.3	17.0	0.27	15.8	14.3	1.49
Aaron Brooks	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	15.9	18.1	-2.13	15.6	15.3	0.28
Luther Head	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	2	7	17.3	17.2	0.01	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Charles Hayes	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	7	-3	15.9	18.0	-2.08	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Dikembe Mutombo	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	5	1	17.6	16.6	0.99	15.8	14.9	0.91
Bobby Jackson	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	7	-3	16.9	17.5	-0.54	16.1	15.0	1.15
Carl Landry	34	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	3	5	17.5	17.1	0.34	16.2	15.0	1.17
Luis Scola	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	17.7	16.7	0.99	15.0	16.1	-1.16
Rafer Alston	55	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	18.1	15.9	2.13	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Steve Novak	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	12	-13	17.0	17.3	-0.27	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Michael Harris	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	19.5	17.2	2.29	9.0	15.5	-6.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 102, DET 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 76, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%