NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	5.1 [791]		MVP	Brandan Wright (DAL): +17.2%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.0 [1062]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -14.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	9	40%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	45%	-0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	16	68%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	15	63%	0.17	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	57%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.03
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.8	31.9	16.6	26.8	1.7	35.3	146.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.3%

BOS -3.5%

DAL +4.9%

DAL +1.5%

BOS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.4	101.1	109.5	104.1
season	14.9	14.5		101.2	104.3
opponent	15.6	16.2		105.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.1	15.4	15.0	15.0
DAL	15.9	15.2	14.0	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	1	2	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-12	14	8.0	15.1	-7.05	10.0	15.8	-5.77
Kevin Garnett	58	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-16	22	14.3	16.0	-1.68	16.1	15.0	1.06
Jordan Crawford	30	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.2	15.3	-1.15	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Courtney Lee	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-9	8	15.0	14.9	0.09	16.5	14.5	2.02
Jason Terry	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.9	0.26	14.1	17.0	-2.93
Avery Bradley	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.9	15.2	0.65
Jeff Green	57	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.4	14.3	1.14	15.4	16.1	-0.78
Chris Wilcox	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	4	-18	15.0	15.0	-0.01	13.0	17.1	-4.09
Paul Pierce	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	14.8	15.4	-0.62	16.4	13.7	2.70
Brandon Bass	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	15.5	14.0	1.49	16.7	13.5	3.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	52	50	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.00	25	-15	40	15.4	16.0	-0.55	15.0	14.9	0.09
O.J. Mayo	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-7	24	16.1	13.9	2.16	15.0	14.9	0.04
Brandan Wright	56	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-7	24	16.8	13.9	2.89	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Darren Collison	60	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	5	0	14.8	17.2	-2.40	15.3	14.5	0.78
Dirk Nowitzki	64	63	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	16.2	14.6	1.59	14.8	15.3	-0.43
Shawn Marion	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	16.5	14.3	2.12	15.3	14.5	0.81
Chris Kaman	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	13	-16	14.5	16.3	-1.75	15.9	14.4	1.52
Bernard James	6	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	14	-18	8.3	16.1	-7.81	5.0	15.3	-10.31
Mike James	49	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	12	-14	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.0	14.9	0.13
Jae Crowder	20	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	23	-36	13.0	16.3	-3.30	14.1	15.2	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DET 82, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 88, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%