NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	7.5 [331]		MVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): +30.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	2.3 [646]		LVP	Landry Fields (TOR): -12.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	64%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Terrence Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	18	58%	0.15	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.08
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.00	12	68%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Lucas III	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07	-0.02	-0.10	-0.04	13	58%	0.10	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.04
Landry Fields	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.14	0.02	11	74%	0.30	0	0.00	12	67%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	11	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	0.00	5	110%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	14	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	30.1	15.8	24.1	2.5	47.5	147.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.8%

TOR -8.0%

TOR -1.5%

CHA +22.3%

TOR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	15.4	107.4	111.5	104.1
season	16.1	15.6		104.4	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	19.3	18.0	14.7	16.5
CHA	14.2	14.3	14.0	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	19.5	16.3	3.24	13.0	13.9	-0.93
Terrence Ross	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	17.8	15.8	2.03	12.8	14.5	-1.72
Sebastian Telfair	10	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	20.5	16.0	4.51	11.1	14.2	-3.05
Amir Johnson	69	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-8	10	16.0	17.7	-1.65	14.4	12.5	1.89
John Lucas III	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	18.5	16.2	2.33	9.5	14.6	-5.10
Kyle Lowry	74	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-8	10	15.4	20.3	-4.87	14.7	10.5	4.20
Jonas Valanciunas	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-12	18	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.4	12.9	1.49
Alan Anderson	23	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	5	-16	18.1	15.9	2.14	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Landry Fields	24	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	0	-6	18.0	16.0	2.00	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Rudy Gay	79	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	15.9	19.4	-3.49	14.3	11.5	2.85
DeMar DeRozan	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.9	19.3	-3.33	13.9	13.9	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	57	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-7	20	12.8	15.5	-2.76	16.3	16.7	-0.34
Ben Gordon	51	48	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-7	20	13.6	14.1	-0.49	17.8	15.1	2.70
Gerald Henderson	78	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	5	-4	14.4	11.7	2.65	16.0	18.3	-2.24
Jeff Taylor	33	35	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-5	16	11.2	15.3	-4.10	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Jannero Pargo	23	22	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	-4	14	13.1	14.1	-0.98	18.9	15.7	3.19
Josh McRoberts	64	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	8	-10	14.4	12.9	1.45	16.0	17.4	-1.47
Kemba Walker	71	69	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	8	-10	14.5	12.1	2.37	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Bismack Biyombo	63	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	14.6	12.6	1.98	16.2	17.0	-0.76
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	40	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	17	-28	14.5	13.4	1.07	16.3	16.6	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	92.6%
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	91.5%
OKC 109, GSW 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.98,1	91.3%