inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Excitement8.2 [227] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +30.4%
Golden State Warriors 114 Comeback3.4 [477] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -19.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.300,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.250.03-0.021391%0.2920.01771%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00267%0.0600.002100%0.02
Steven Adams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.00467%0.071-0.0310%-0.02
Andre Roberson0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00856%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01250%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.030.01-0.030.00450%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Perry Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.050.01875%0.114-0.1500%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.11-0.00825%-0.151-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.190,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.15,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.18,-0.19-0.12-0.060.023046%-0.036-0.171267%-0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.19,0.180.180.140.03-0.012469%0.404-0.221100%0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.050.00967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.010.011558%0.071-0.023100%0.02
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.021050%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.020.011450%0.052-0.06425%-0.06
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.01650%0.021-0.04250%-0.02
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02-0.020.05-0.07-0.001155%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.733.218.026.23.431.6141.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +42.1%
OKC -3.2%
GSW +10.9%
GSW +1.1%
OKC -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.714.015.1107.9114.0104.2
season14.513.6105.7109.2
opponent15.515.099.7103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.616.415.213.714.7
GSW12.113.614.216.314.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant40410.13-0.630.76-0.025-101514.015.1-1.0913.114.6-1.48
Steven Adams30290.05-0.550.60-0.2410-152514.514.8-0.2613.914.0-0.15
Andre Roberson7374-0.05-0.450.40-0.205-101515.013.81.2413.315.8-2.54
Kendrick Perkins3736-0.12-0.380.250.08-72-913.315.5-2.1913.814.1-0.30
Jeremy Lamb3028-0.24-0.260.01-0.271-6713.915.0-1.1115.913.22.72
Russell Westbrook8383-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.412-7915.013.21.7813.615.7-2.09
Serge Ibaka6970-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-5515.413.22.2414.013.90.10
Perry Jones4138-0.49-0.01-0.470.13-2116-3715.114.40.7813.814.1-0.33
Anthony Morrow5555-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-116-1714.814.50.3414.313.50.79
Reggie Jackson4746-0.530.03-0.57-0.27-94-1314.215.1-0.8415.212.92.23

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala63640.64-0.140.780.1118-133114.013.80.2114.315.4-1.10
Stephen Curry86860.51-0.010.520.317-2914.312.22.0414.814.00.80
Harrison Barnes69720.470.030.450.4705-514.712.52.2014.216.0-1.85
Draymond Green93930.450.050.410.3441314.112.31.8114.813.21.56
Klay Thompson75750.240.26-0.010.39-510-1513.415.6-2.1214.615.0-0.48
Shaun Livingston39410.240.26-0.010.018-31114.413.70.6414.714.7-0.04
Festus Ezeli21210.050.45-0.400.20-510-1514.713.80.8813.914.9-1.04
Justin Holiday1211-0.050.55-0.600.01-27-913.814.0-0.1618.414.24.13
Marreese Speights4242-0.070.57-0.64-0.0705-512.115.3-3.1515.414.21.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 101, CHA 1070.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.95,0.96,191.3%
GSW 109, CHA 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.98,190.8%
NOP 102, MEM 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.85,190.5%