inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 81 Excitement4.0 [1040] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +10.3%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback1.0 [1254] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -8.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01960%0.062-0.032100%0.01
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03658%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03558%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06125%0.002-0.00250%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.04367%0.023-0.0300%0.00
Al Horford-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.011346%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
John Jenkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.07933%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00650%0.012-0.05683%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02530%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.010.011644%-0.033-0.06250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00887%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.011254%0.0800.002100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.000.041855%0.061-0.03683%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00857%0.041-0.01580%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04325%-0.001-0.002100%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.10-0.00-0.07515%-0.032-0.0030%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.02-0.021144%0.024-0.081275%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.60.529.717.024.52.827.3129.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +10.1%
MIA +14.0%
MIA +6.0%
MIA +17.8%
MIA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game13.915.715.483.5101.0104.1
season15.115.7102.6110.2
opponent15.915.5102.4102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.415.813.313.413.9
MIA17.314.216.015.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver38390.02-0.520.530.10-3-141115.113.21.8214.416.6-2.18
Shelvin Mack1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-222711.414.6-3.1416.615.51.11
Mike Scott1920-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-202311.414.6-3.1416.015.70.39
Dahntay Jones4141-0.02-0.480.47-0.227-243112.515.0-2.5717.014.92.09
John Jenkins3938-0.06-0.440.37-0.00-2-151313.514.2-0.7315.615.8-0.23
Devin Harris3636-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-8-116.312.63.7514.616.4-1.75
Ivan Johnson3333-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-6-516.312.73.5713.616.9-3.28
DeShawn Stevenson4748-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-9113.914.0-0.1116.415.11.25
Josh Smith4746-0.35-0.15-0.190.00-12-5-713.714.2-0.4817.214.42.85
Al Horford6364-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-3-1114.213.50.7416.115.10.94
Anthony Tolliver5251-0.47-0.03-0.430.15-214-2513.914.0-0.1415.116.5-1.44
Jeff Teague5150-0.510.01-0.510.08-203-2313.414.6-1.2115.915.50.41

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James59600.58-0.080.65-0.0421-42516.115.11.0013.914.1-0.21
Udonis Haslem47480.53-0.030.56-0.0319-22116.515.01.4513.614.3-0.64
Chris Bosh49510.51-0.010.51-0.0820-32315.815.60.1913.414.6-1.21
Mario Chalmers51530.500.000.50-0.0619-22116.514.91.6213.714.3-0.59
Dwyane Wade61600.210.29-0.07-0.14125715.615.9-0.3214.612.91.66
Ray Allen53530.210.29-0.080.12314-1115.416.1-0.6814.613.21.36
Chris Andersen31300.030.47-0.43-0.14611-514.816.2-1.3816.812.74.13
James Jones880.000.50-0.50-0.09314-1114.215.9-1.6311.714.1-2.40
Joel Anthony15150.000.50-0.500.15-522-2716.215.70.5410.914.5-3.57
Norris Cole46440.000.50-0.500.06-219-2114.916.5-1.6214.313.70.59
Rashard Lewis13130.000.50-0.500.15-522-2716.715.61.1010.214.5-4.29
Mike Miller13130.000.50-0.500.15-522-2716.715.61.1010.214.5-4.29
Shane Battier3937-0.070.57-0.64-0.04-118-1915.016.3-1.2815.413.12.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 84, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
SAC 84, NOH 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
TOR 74, SEA 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%