NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	8.3 [206]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +22.8%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.3 [227]		LVP	Omer Asik (HOU): -12.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23	0.18	0.13	0.08	17	83%	0.48	8	-0.25	12	75%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.10	0.03	15	70%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	16	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.01	12	79%	0.31	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.08	0.03	13	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	8	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	1.7	29.0	0.2	30.3	1.6	35.8	129.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.9%

HOU -4.3%

PHX +17.0%

PHX +12.4%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.4	109.4	111.5	104.1
season	14.2	15.2		107.9	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.5	14.8	15.4	15.2
PHX	15.4	14.0	15.2	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Smith	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.1	15.5	-1.45	16.6	14.4	2.18
Thomas Robinson	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	16.2	15.0	1.24	16.2	14.5	1.68
Patrick Beverley	38	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.4	15.1	0.38	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Donatas Motiejunas	38	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-4	6	14.1	16.0	-1.89	13.7	15.5	-1.86
Francisco Garcia	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	4	-10	15.7	15.0	0.75	13.6	15.3	-1.71
James Harden	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	15.0	16.6	-1.62	15.2	11.9	3.31
Chandler Parsons	69	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.57	4	-6	10	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.0	14.1	0.89
Jeremy Lin	58	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.1	15.4	-0.38	15.9	13.0	2.89
Carlos Delfino	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	5	-12	15.5	14.8	0.76	14.0	15.9	-1.84
Omer Asik	74	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	5	-12	16.0	12.6	3.41	14.9	14.2	0.70

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	55	54	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-13	28	15.1	14.3	0.77	15.9	14.3	1.57
Hamed Haddadi	54	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-13	28	15.3	14.1	1.13	16.1	14.1	1.96
Jared Dudley	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-9	20	14.3	15.9	-1.63	15.4	14.8	0.56
PJ Tucker	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-5	12	13.5	16.0	-2.50	15.5	14.9	0.58
Goran Dragic	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	10	-18	15.4	13.8	1.69	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Marcus Morris	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.47	-9	11	-20	14.8	14.8	-0.04	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Michael Beasley	46	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	1	0	14.9	14.6	0.29	15.4	15.0	0.40
Markieff Morris	41	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	12	-22	14.5	15.0	-0.51	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Luis Scola	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	14.2	15.1	-0.82	15.5	15.1	0.36
Wesley Johnson	30	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	10	-18	15.9	14.3	1.63	14.7	15.4	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	91.9%
DEN 92, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	91.9%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	91.7%