inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 88 Excitement4.8 [873] MVPMickael Gelabale (MIN): +8.9%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback1.5 [1253] LVPDerrick Williams (MIN): -10.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.190.000.101090%0.0900.001100%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.00-0.041454%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.05-0.00-0.05850%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Chris Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.00-0.08425%0.014-0.0400%0.00
Greg Stiemsma-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.01757%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.040.02950%-0.023-0.08475%-0.01
Alexey Shved-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.16-0.01-0.071121%-0.073-0.03250%-0.01
Luke Ridnour-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00741%-0.042-0.073100%0.01
Derrick Williams-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.021435%-0.081-0.03956%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.200.010.141784%0.164-0.104100%0.02
Kosta Koufos0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00580%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01758%0.041-0.005100%0.03
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.041354%0.072-0.03250%-0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.001048%0.041-0.02367%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.014100%0.083-0.0600%0.00
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.01657%0.062-0.062100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02540%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01550%-0.003-0.06450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.429.215.728.42.424.7125.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.9%
DEN +4.6%
MIN -3.3%
DEN +3.4%
DEN +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.412.615.486.3106.7104.1
season15.614.4101.3108.4
opponent15.414.9104.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.616.815.814.215.4
DEN13.712.010.914.012.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Johnson3839-0.08-0.420.340.21-10-13315.315.4-0.0913.312.21.03
Dante Cunningham4953-0.18-0.320.150.23-14-9-515.315.4-0.0512.812.50.28
Mickael Gelabale6668-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-171115.315.5-0.2012.712.50.22
Alexey Shved4950-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-7-915.515.20.3012.113.1-1.03
Luke Ridnour6464-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-7-915.814.71.1412.712.50.11
Jose Juan Barea5659-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-6-1115.215.5-0.2712.812.30.54
Derrick Williams6363-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-11-12114.716.5-1.8512.712.50.21
Greg Stiemsma6261-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-12115.814.71.1112.512.8-0.30
Ricky Rubio6363-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-9-515.315.4-0.1012.213.2-1.00

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari63600.470.030.43-0.182212111.813.9-2.1615.814.80.96
Kosta Koufos47470.420.080.340.01149512.912.40.4315.815.00.77
Ty Lawson73730.420.080.34-0.232212112.512.9-0.4615.814.31.53
Wilson Chandler47470.420.080.33-0.081761111.613.5-1.8614.715.9-1.16
Andre Iguodala68680.360.140.220.061013-312.812.30.4715.714.70.96
Kenneth Faried53500.260.240.02-0.15149513.611.62.0515.815.00.76
Andre Miller49470.250.250.00-0.19158712.013.1-1.0915.715.10.61
Timofey Mozgov13120.040.46-0.420.01122-2114.512.42.1111.915.8-3.92
Corey Brewer54530.020.48-0.47-0.22815-711.913.3-1.4015.715.00.64
Anthony Randolph1090.000.50-0.500.00023-2314.112.51.6412.015.7-3.70
Jordan Hamilton880.000.50-0.500.00023-2316.412.34.0712.715.6-2.85
Evan Fournier1090.000.50-0.500.00023-2314.112.51.6412.015.7-3.70
JaVale McGee2527-0.150.65-0.790.09-831-3913.312.40.8715.615.30.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 71, ATL 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
OKC 88, MIN 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,195.2%
MIL 80, IND 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%