NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	4.9 [846]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (IND): +7.5%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.2 [951]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -20.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	19	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	15	35%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	16	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	10	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.05
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.3	22.7	16.2	23.4	1.8	27.2	121.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.6%

IND +1.6%

IND +21.7%

IND +0.5%

MIL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	16.2	15.4	87.9	105.6	104.1
season	14.7	16.1		101.6	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.8	16.7	15.8	13.4	15.7
IND	15.3	16.8	14.8	17.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	11.7	15.9	-4.27	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Doron Lamb	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	11.7	15.9	-4.27	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Drew Gooden	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	13.4	16.0	-2.65	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Tobias Harris	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-13	11	13.4	16.4	-3.04	17.9	15.6	2.35
John Henson	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-12	9	14.6	16.9	-2.22	16.6	15.7	0.93
Brandon Jennings	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-9	3	16.1	14.8	1.34	17.0	14.5	2.50
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-6	-3	16.8	14.9	1.85	16.4	16.0	0.34
Mike Dunleavy	46	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	16.3	15.0	1.39	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Larry Sanders	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-7	-1	16.3	14.7	1.66	15.4	17.4	-1.99
Beno Udrih	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-2	-11	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.5	16.8	-1.25
Ekpe Udoh	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	2	-19	16.1	15.0	1.09	16.7	15.4	1.24
Monta Ellis	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	16.3	14.0	2.31	16.0	16.5	-0.51

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	2	11	15.2	19.1	-3.92	16.3	13.8	2.48
D.J. Augustin	38	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	2	11	16.9	15.6	1.31	14.7	16.4	-1.73
David West	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	-2	19	15.3	17.1	-1.80	17.2	14.0	3.21
Gerald Green	35	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	10	-5	17.2	15.5	1.64	14.5	16.3	-1.80
Roy Hibbert	59	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	8	-1	15.3	17.9	-2.65	16.3	14.5	1.80
Ian Mahinmi	27	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	4	7	17.8	15.5	2.35	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Lance Stephenson	42	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	1	13	15.2	17.0	-1.79	16.7	14.6	2.12
George Hill	62	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	9	-3	16.5	15.4	1.12	15.9	15.1	0.80
Tyler Hansbrough	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	14	-13	16.9	15.5	1.40	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Jeff Ayres	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	19	-23	18.4	15.9	2.53	12.2	16.0	-3.81
Ben Hansbrough	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	18.5	16.1	2.44	7.2	16.0	-8.80
Orlando Johnson	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	20	-25	16.7	16.0	0.65	14.5	16.0	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.1%
OKC 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 75, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%