NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	5.9 [610]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +17.4%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	3.1 [891]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -10.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.04	0.06	15	78%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	64%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Royal Ivey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.03	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	52%	-0.00	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	11	37%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	17	64%	0.24	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	14	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	32.2	16.4	22.7	1.6	26.4	125.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.9%

MIA +1.2%

MIA +2.8%

MIA +9.6%

MIA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	15.4	103.3	114.6	104.1
season	15.5	15.7		100.5	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	16.0	15.0	17.8	15.7
MIA	15.5	17.6	15.6	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jenkins	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-8	7	15.0	16.2	-1.16	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Arnett Moultrie	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-13	17	16.4	15.5	0.95	18.3	15.7	2.56
Jrue Holiday	79	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-13	17	15.4	18.0	-2.57	16.6	15.5	1.05
Damien Wilkins	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-12	15	15.3	16.2	-0.90	17.8	14.9	2.86
Royal Ivey	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.6	15.8	-0.23	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Spencer Hawes	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	15.0	17.2	-2.26	15.1	19.0	-3.86
Thaddeus Young	60	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-10	11	15.8	15.6	0.27	16.8	15.6	1.16
Dorell Wright	49	46	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.18	-18	9	-27	17.2	14.0	3.25	17.0	15.8	1.21
Evan Turner	70	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.07	-22	13	-35	16.1	14.5	1.54	15.8	18.5	-2.66

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	64	65	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.08	19	-10	29	15.8	18.0	-2.23	15.9	15.2	0.70
Ray Allen	47	46	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-1	11	17.4	15.4	2.00	16.2	15.2	1.01
Shane Battier	49	49	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	16.9	15.9	0.93	16.1	15.3	0.87
Norris Cole	47	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	1	7	17.5	15.2	2.27	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Chris Andersen	30	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	6	-3	17.8	15.7	2.05	16.0	15.6	0.33
Chris Bosh	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	3	3	15.7	17.8	-2.05	15.6	16.0	-0.33
Mario Chalmers	42	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	8	-7	15.2	17.5	-2.27	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Rashard Lewis	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	11	-13	18.1	16.3	1.85	17.7	15.5	2.20
Udonis Haslem	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	15.5	17.0	-1.56	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Dwyane Wade	67	70	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	18	-27	16.4	16.6	-0.26	15.3	17.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 99, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHI 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%