inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 93 Excitement4.3 [977] MVPJohn Lucas III (TOR): +8.0%
Toronto Raptors 81 Comeback1.5 [745] LVPAlan Anderson (TOR): -13.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.04-0.00567%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Roy Hibbert0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011075%0.154-0.104100%0.03
Lance Stephenson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01362%0.0110.00250%-0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Sam Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00350%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Paul George-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.020.041665%0.064-0.072100%0.01
David West-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011158%0.083-0.09475%-0.01
George Hill-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01831%-0.0300.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.02150%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.02-0.061032%-0.013-0.06250%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.01-0.03956%0.0800.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Landry Fields00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01750%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00550%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.020.061654%-0.014-0.107100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.001030%-0.1200.001050%-0.06
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.00-0.050.081254%-0.062-0.072100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.530.517.428.62.833.0141.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +39.5%
IND +8.3%
IND +6.1%
TOR -4.5%
IND +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game16.316.015.4104.591.0104.1
season16.116.1102.4104.4
opponent15.315.5105.899.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.214.416.517.216.3
TOR14.918.317.014.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West54540.480.020.46-0.0217-52215.917.1-1.1916.515.21.31
Paul George77770.420.080.340.101111016.316.4-0.0916.413.33.11
D.J. Augustin35360.290.210.080.0684415.916.6-0.6515.616.3-0.69
Ian Mahinmi44450.280.220.070.0875215.816.8-0.9815.117.0-1.93
Orlando Johnson31310.240.26-0.030.0084415.716.7-0.9118.314.83.43
Danny Granger20190.220.28-0.06-0.07102815.116.7-1.5315.016.3-1.30
Roy Hibbert41400.220.28-0.070.0175217.015.71.3218.114.33.82
George Hill54530.210.29-0.080.0948-416.615.90.6516.315.60.69
Lance Stephenson42430.130.37-0.250.16-113-1417.715.12.6116.016.00.00
Tyler Hansbrough35350.020.48-0.460.17-517-2217.115.91.1915.216.5-1.31
Gerald Green440.000.50-0.500.06-214-1614.516.4-1.925.716.5-10.76
Jeff Ayres440.000.50-0.500.06-214-1614.516.4-1.925.716.5-10.76
Sam Young440.000.50-0.500.06-214-1614.516.4-1.925.716.5-10.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Landry Fields430.05-0.550.600.021-131419.515.93.6417.316.31.03
Quincy Acy1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-182411.416.7-5.3215.116.5-1.45
Amir Johnson3433-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-5-216.115.90.2017.515.61.92
Terrence Ross2525-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-9614.416.7-2.3115.816.5-0.75
Kyle Lowry4545-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-111017.015.01.9816.216.4-0.19
Jonas Valanciunas4745-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-7217.913.94.0616.815.90.89
Alan Anderson4243-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-121214.317.5-3.2016.016.6-0.61
Aaron Gray1314-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-5-215.216.2-1.0215.916.4-0.48
Rudy Gay5657-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-3-617.713.24.4217.115.02.09
John Lucas III4545-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.05-9-3-614.717.4-2.7016.216.5-0.28
DeMar DeRozan6261-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.09-120-1216.315.40.9416.216.6-0.39
Andrea Bargnani6162-0.520.02-0.53-0.11-142-1615.617.0-1.3715.717.8-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 101, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
CLE 98, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
ORL 104, NJN 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%