inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 129 Excitement11.6 [27] MVPMarcus Thornton (SAC): +41.5%
Miami Heat 141 Comeback2.5 [749] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -12.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.420.290.160.041882%0.471-0.05875%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.030.180.031759%0.354-0.18757%-0.07
Tyreke Evans0.130,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.011962%0.262-0.13475%0.01
Isaiah Thomas0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001158%0.132-0.082100%0.01
Charles Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
John Salmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.001168%0.114-0.1300%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0340%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.051035%-0.064-0.05367%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.03,0.09,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.230.090.012369%0.352-0.031292%-0.07
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.150.10-0.011475%0.281-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.110.00583%0.1900.002100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.030.012867%0.244-0.0720%-0.12
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.14-0.010.180.031347%0.171-0.03683%0.03
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.02-0.010.00362%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.01837%-0.031-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game22.82.329.416.426.32.431.31.420.31.411.3165.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC -6.3%
MIA +1.0%
MIA +20.1%
MIA +26.9%
MIA +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game15.616.115.4119.4127.0104.1
season15.015.7104.7110.2
opponent15.915.2102.4109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC17.114.114.318.614.515.6
MIA17.115.914.516.616.916.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Salmons84860.34-0.841.180.089-213015.516.0-0.4116.415.21.16
Jason Thompson51490.12-0.620.740.004-162015.715.50.2016.416.00.42
Aaron Brooks19190.09-0.590.680.003-151813.916.0-2.1216.616.00.54
Charles Hayes17180.06-0.560.63-0.085-172213.816.0-2.1516.216.10.04
Travis Outlaw89-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-10815.615.6-0.0216.316.10.22
Patrick Patterson2020-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-5-214.815.8-0.9714.716.4-1.69
Tyreke Evans7780-0.540.04-0.58-0.07-164-2016.613.23.3816.415.40.99
DeMarcus Cousins9193-0.560.06-0.63-0.06-175-2216.013.82.1516.116.2-0.04
Marcus Thornton7578-0.590.09-0.68-0.24-120-1215.116.8-1.7415.916.7-0.76
Isaiah Thomas8892-0.620.12-0.74-0.18-153-1816.113.72.3216.016.6-0.54

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen79770.51-0.010.520.161201216.216.00.1515.316.5-1.23
Chris Andersen32330.400.100.310.081111014.216.9-2.6516.915.11.79
Dwyane Wade86830.360.140.220.2157-216.315.60.7415.615.9-0.31
Rashard Lewis34350.340.160.190.1475214.816.7-1.9316.315.30.91
LeBron James93890.310.190.11-0.021111016.215.70.5615.516.3-0.76
Mario Chalmers52510.270.230.03-0.061111016.116.2-0.0715.515.7-0.17
Norris Cole49480.200.30-0.100.17111-1015.916.3-0.3915.715.60.09
Chris Bosh79750.100.40-0.310.07111-1016.914.22.6515.116.9-1.79
Udonis Haslem42410.010.49-0.48-0.02111-1016.216.10.1316.215.30.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.54,0.69,0.57,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 109, TOR 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.92,187.6%
IND 109, NJN 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.85,0.95,185.8%
WAS 106, TOR 1140.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,185.0%