NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	7.1 [376]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +30.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.5 [734]		LVP	Eric Maynor (POR): -9.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	19	50%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	16	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	39%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.10	-0.01	11	89%	0.35	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.12	-0.02	16	35%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	14	55%	0.11	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	30.3	15.6	23.1	2.3	31.3	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.2%

POR +22.0%

POR +8.2%

BOS -21.2%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	17.3	15.4	94.5	101.1	104.1
season	14.9	15.8		101.2	104.3
opponent	15.3	16.2		107.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	12.2	14.3	15.8	14.3
POR	16.5	15.5	17.7	20.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-7	8	13.6	14.4	-0.80	18.1	17.2	0.87
Jordan Crawford	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-5	4	13.9	14.5	-0.67	15.3	18.1	-2.78
Courtney Lee	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-6	6	14.2	14.5	-0.31	17.2	17.4	-0.21
Brandon Bass	54	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	15.1	13.2	1.95	17.4	17.3	0.12
Avery Bradley	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-10	14	14.4	14.2	0.14	18.1	15.5	2.56
Chris Wilcox	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	1	-8	15.7	13.7	2.07	16.6	17.7	-1.14
Paul Pierce	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-10	14	13.5	16.0	-2.56	17.9	16.2	1.64
Kevin Garnett	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-7	8	13.7	15.7	-2.07	17.7	16.6	1.14
Jason Terry	36	37	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	7	-20	14.6	14.2	0.39	16.7	17.8	-1.06
Jeff Green	60	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	11	-28	14.8	13.5	1.32	17.1	17.7	-0.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Claver	38	38	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-8	22	16.3	18.1	-1.83	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Wesley Matthews	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	18.1	14.9	3.25	14.5	13.8	0.72
Nicolas Batum	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	1	4	17.4	16.9	0.48	14.3	14.2	0.16
Damian Lillard	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	2	2	17.8	15.5	2.28	14.7	12.8	1.95
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	4	-2	17.6	16.8	0.75	15.0	13.1	1.88
JJ Hickson	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	3	0	17.3	17.4	-0.04	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Eric Maynor	29	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	15.6	18.2	-2.61	14.4	14.3	0.05
Will Barton	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	15.2	17.8	-2.58	11.7	14.9	-3.21
Meyers Leonard	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	17.4	17.3	0.09	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Joel Freeland	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	12	-18	19.0	17.1	1.85	12.5	14.5	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	92.6%
PHI 92, BKN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.5%
TOR 84, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.4%