NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	5.8 [629]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): +11.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	2.6 [327]		LVP	Alexey Shved (MIN): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	18	51%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.01	-0.07	15	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	11	64%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	9	58%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	7	37%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	15	56%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	17	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.05
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	10	27%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	26.6	14.8	26.5	2.2	41.5	133.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.0%

MIN -13.2%

UTA +14.8%

MIN -5.3%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	15.4	97.0	93.9	104.1
season	16.0	15.6		104.6	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	15.5	14.9	13.5	15.5
MIN	13.5	15.1	13.9	11.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-8	20	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.7	12.8	0.88
Alec Burks	65	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	14.4	17.4	-3.00	13.5	13.4	0.16
Earl Watson	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	4	-4	13.9	17.2	-3.27	12.8	14.2	-1.45
Enes Kanter	31	31	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-7	18	13.4	16.4	-3.08	13.7	13.3	0.42
DeMarre Carroll	55	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	4	-4	14.6	16.6	-1.96	12.6	14.4	-1.77
Derrick Favors	41	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	6	-8	14.7	16.0	-1.31	13.5	13.4	0.02
Al Jefferson	69	68	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.31	-7	11	-18	16.4	13.4	3.08	13.3	13.7	-0.42
Randy Foye	52	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	0	4	16.9	13.9	3.05	14.0	12.8	1.21
Marvin Williams	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	17.8	14.5	3.27	14.3	13.1	1.26
Jamaal Tinsley	30	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	17.9	14.4	3.50	13.5	13.4	0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	48	48	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	13.9	13.1	0.82	16.6	14.4	2.24
Luke Ridnour	75	74	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-18	32	13.6	12.9	0.71	16.5	12.7	3.82
Chris Johnson	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	0.0	13.5	-13.45	1.0	15.6	-14.63
Nikola Pekovic	80	82	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-14	24	13.5	13.4	0.11	15.9	13.6	2.35
Derrick Williams	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-10	16	13.0	14.7	-1.71	16.2	13.2	2.99
Greg Stiemsma	17	16	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	7	-18	14.1	13.3	0.80	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Ricky Rubio	81	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	13.5	13.2	0.28	15.7	14.5	1.15
Jose Juan Barea	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	12.3	14.7	-2.40	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Alexey Shved	23	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	12	-28	13.3	13.5	-0.20	13.0	16.3	-3.31
Dante Cunningham	43	43	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.11	-22	18	-40	14.5	12.7	1.79	13.1	17.3	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
PHI 108, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0	93.2%
CLE 109, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%