NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	6.2 [540]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +15.8%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.9 [305]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -12.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	15	64%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	47%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Marcus Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	0.07	22	49%	-0.02	5	-0.10	11	100%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	19	61%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.05	14	69%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	21	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	31.9	15.0	24.5	1.8	28.5	129.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.8%

HOU +2.9%

HOU +11.7%

HOU +4.6%

GSW -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	15.4	113.7	103.9	104.1
season	14.2	14.6		107.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	12.8	13.1	16.8	14.1
GSW	13.0	14.9	13.6	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	81	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-1	11	14.5	12.7	1.80	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Chandler Parsons	80	81	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	5	-1	13.9	15.1	-1.20	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Omer Asik	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	5	-1	15.3	11.8	3.57	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Patrick Patterson	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	2	5	13.0	16.3	-3.29	13.4	14.9	-1.44
Patrick Beverley	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	13.4	14.7	-1.26	14.7	13.4	1.30
Carlos Delfino	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	14.8	13.5	1.36	13.4	14.4	-1.04
Jeremy Lin	60	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	5	-1	14.7	13.4	1.26	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Marcus Morris	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	6	-3	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.3	12.9	2.43
Cole Aldrich	18	18	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	11.9	14.6	-2.74	14.7	13.8	0.93

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-14	19	14.3	13.9	0.46	12.5	14.5	-2.00
Carl Landry	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	14.4	13.6	0.84	13.4	14.7	-1.22
Draymond Green	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-9	9	13.7	14.1	-0.42	13.2	14.7	-1.58
Harrison Barnes	59	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-6	3	13.2	15.0	-1.75	14.6	13.6	1.02
Stephen Curry	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	13.8	14.4	-0.64	14.4	13.5	0.93
Jarrett Jack	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	14.1	13.6	0.49	14.4	13.7	0.70
Andrew Bogut	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	14.1	13.8	0.34	14.2	14.0	0.18
David Lee	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	7	-23	14.4	12.8	1.56	14.3	13.7	0.59
Klay Thompson	83	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.20	-14	5	-19	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.4	13.1	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 112, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DEN 106, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
LAC 79, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	94.0%