NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	4.5 [936]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +7.8%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.7 [1115]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -12.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	48%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	6	85%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	15	45%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	63%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	14	55%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Fab Melo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	28.1	15.4	27.5	1.8	24.0	122.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.4%

ORL -11.8%

BOS +7.2%

ORL -4.4%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.4	88.4	102.1	104.1
season	15.5	14.9		100.3	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.7	16.1	13.9	14.4	15.3
BOS	14.0	14.5	15.5	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	12.6	15.7	-3.09	15.8	14.9	0.87
Andrew Nicholson	65	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-20	27	15.2	15.5	-0.38	15.5	14.2	1.26
Jameer Nelson	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	16.3	14.6	1.63	14.6	15.3	-0.78
Nikola Vucevic	64	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.17	-10	-3	-7	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.2	14.7	0.49
Gustavo Ayon	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-8	3	14.5	15.4	-0.91	15.6	15.0	0.62
Ish Smith	27	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-12	11	15.4	15.2	0.24	15.5	14.8	0.72
Maurice Harkless	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-11	9	14.1	17.4	-3.24	15.6	14.1	1.53
E'Twaun Moore	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-13	13	13.8	16.9	-3.07	14.9	15.2	-0.26
JJ Redick	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.8	14.2	1.52	15.6	13.9	1.69
Josh McRoberts	16	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.9	15.2	0.72	11.7	15.8	-4.06
DeQuan Jones	28	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.30	-21	8	-29	16.7	14.7	2.09	12.9	16.0	-3.14
Hedo Turkoglu	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	16.5	14.6	1.96	15.2	15.0	0.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	55	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.01	23	-10	33	15.1	15.0	0.07	15.6	14.9	0.65
Jeff Green	60	58	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-7	27	14.6	15.7	-1.06	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Leandro Barbosa	53	54	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.00	21	-8	29	14.4	15.9	-1.50	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Jason Collins	23	23	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	2	9	13.6	15.5	-1.89	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Paul Pierce	57	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	3	7	14.5	15.9	-1.46	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Kevin Garnett	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	4	5	16.2	14.0	2.17	16.3	14.4	1.96
Courtney Lee	77	76	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	18	-23	15.6	12.8	2.79	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Chris Wilcox	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	15.0	15.0	-0.05	16.6	15.1	1.48
Fab Melo	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	14.0	15.1	-1.11	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Brandon Bass	50	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.34	-15	28	-43	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.7	16.0	-1.22
Avery Bradley	40	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.11	-10	23	-33	15.4	14.8	0.62	15.3	15.3	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 90, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
BOS 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%