inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 116 Excitement11.1 [36] MVPJose Calderon (TOR): +53.9%
Miami Heat 123 Comeback5.5 [453] LVPLeBron James (MIA): -19.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.540,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.540.170.370.01994%0.5400.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.05-0.011650%0.111-0.0400%0.00
John Lucas III0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00275%0.0700.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01971%0.112-0.043100%0.01
Landry Fields0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00558%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Ed Davis0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.02865%0.061-0.03475%-0.00
Aaron Gray0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.060.011152%0.032-0.103100%0.03
DeMar DeRozan-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.00-0.120.011050%-0.111-0.03450%-0.12
Alan Anderson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.11,-0.02,-0.12,-0.130.05-0.20-0.021853%-0.011-0.122100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.380.380.150.220.001090%0.411-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.21,0.210.210.140.090.021966%0.363-0.141560%-0.07
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00375%0.0800.002100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.100.02746%0.091-0.021250%-0.13
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.03350%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00250%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.04-0.080.021064%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.190.08-0.230.042358%0.073-0.26786%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.82.432.915.730.62.833.12.515.4158.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +10.9%
MIA +9.2%
MIA +58.1%
TOR -23.9%
TOR -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.815.415.4118.4123.0104.1
season16.115.7104.4110.2
opponent15.915.3102.4105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR16.216.317.616.218.316.8
MIA16.516.412.416.515.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson59610.32-0.821.140.262-91116.716.8-0.0215.016.1-1.10
Quincy Acy770.08-0.580.67-0.003-101316.316.8-0.5117.115.21.90
Landry Fields64630.07-0.570.640.13-2-5317.615.22.3315.515.20.22
John Lucas III1921-0.03-0.470.43-0.092-91115.517.1-1.5915.915.20.66
DeMar DeRozan5758-0.11-0.390.27-0.172-91117.515.81.7215.515.20.33
Terrence Ross4948-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-4115.817.7-1.8816.014.81.19
Aaron Gray1312-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-6517.216.70.5518.614.93.64
Kyle Lowry5356-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-2-5315.518.2-2.7515.615.00.60
Alan Anderson6365-0.630.13-0.75-0.30-114-1516.816.70.1515.914.51.42
Jose Calderon5860-0.660.16-0.81-0.22-158-2317.316.01.3214.317.0-2.78
Ed Davis4849-0.660.16-0.83-0.37-103-1316.916.60.3214.216.5-2.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier50481.00-0.501.510.6811-41516.314.51.8015.518.0-2.50
Chris Bosh75760.68-0.180.870.1518-112915.016.6-1.6317.613.83.85
Dwyane Wade76740.59-0.090.670.2910-31314.518.2-3.6717.414.92.49
LeBron James86840.51-0.010.520.259-21114.918.3-3.3816.518.5-2.04
Ray Allen55520.020.48-0.470.19-613-1916.214.41.8616.317.3-0.95
Mike Miller89-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-18-920.614.95.7019.116.52.59
Joel Anthony2018-0.050.55-0.590.07-411-1516.815.01.8414.117.4-3.31
Udonis Haslem3737-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-29-1114.216.1-1.9316.816.70.05
Norris Cole3030-0.070.57-0.640.05-411-1517.014.72.2715.417.4-2.00
Mario Chalmers6362-0.080.58-0.67-0.2043115.016.1-1.1617.814.92.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, NOH 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,189.4%
DEN 105, DAL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.91,189.4%
CHI 97, NOH 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.7,0.91,0.91,188.6%