NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	10.0 [58]		MVP	Carl Landry (NOH): +48.0%
New Orleans Hornets	105		Comeback	3.4 [138]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -43.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.01	14	48%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.10
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.02	0.06	15	57%	0.11	3	-0.12	10	60%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.05
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	9	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chase Budinger	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	0.10	-0.18	0.02	17	61%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.07	0.37	-0.04	13	71%	0.54	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.06	0.26	0.00	5	75%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.06	0.02	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darryl Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.19,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.01	18	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.09	0.03	10	59%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Dyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.12	-0.31	0.01	9	35%	-0.16	4	-0.28	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.2	15.4	23.4	1.8	33.0	1.6	24.3	152.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.2%

NOH +4.7%

NOH +40.0%

HOU -23.4%

HOU -14.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	15.4	15.8	15.6	97.1	102.9	102.8
season	15.4	16.3		103.5	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.4	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.0	15.5	19.1	14.7	10.5	15.4
NOH	16.7	17.2	16.0	17.4	9.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-9	12	15.0	15.6	-0.62	17.7	14.9	2.78
Chase Budinger	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-12	18	13.6	18.6	-5.09	16.2	15.0	1.26
Patrick Patterson	63	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-9	12	13.5	18.5	-5.00	16.0	15.4	0.59
Marcus Camby	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	5	-16	17.5	13.4	4.04	16.4	15.2	1.14
Chandler Parsons	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.4	-0.06	14.2	18.1	-3.84
Courtney Lee	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	1	-8	16.1	11.9	4.15	15.7	16.2	-0.56
Luis Scola	80	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-6	6	16.4	11.6	4.80	16.0	14.9	1.10
Goran Dragic	75	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	7	-20	15.5	15.0	0.55	15.1	17.5	-2.43

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	63	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-5	16	14.3	18.2	-3.84	16.0	14.4	1.69
Carl Landry	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.55	6	0	6	15.2	17.1	-1.86	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Greivis Vasquez	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-5	16	15.3	17.2	-1.87	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Eric Gordon	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-5	16	15.3	16.9	-1.62	15.8	14.3	1.54
Lance Thomas	28	27	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-1	8	15.9	15.7	0.16	18.2	14.4	3.79
Gustavo Ayon	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	12	-18	17.1	14.9	2.17	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Xavier Henry	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	9	-12	17.6	15.0	2.69	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Darryl Watkins	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	4	-2	17.0	15.7	1.34	18.6	15.1	3.46
Jerome Dyson	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	13	-20	16.7	15.5	1.20	15.2	15.5	-0.21
Jason Smith	37	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.26	3	3	0	16.9	15.1	1.75	15.8	15.2	0.60
Marco Belinelli	51	52	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	11	-16	15.9	15.6	0.33	13.2	17.7	-4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, DET 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.27,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.73,1	89.9%
NOH 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.76,0.72,0.34,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	89.6%
TOR 116, MIA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.91,1	89.4%