inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 107 Excitement10.8 [45] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +27.6%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.4 [726] LVPMarco Belinelli (CHI): -38.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.280,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.280.050.22-0.011456%0.311-0.046100%0.06
Carlos Boozer0.260,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.260.210.080.022469%0.322-0.054100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.01979%0.101-0.021100%0.00
Joakim Noah0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.011444%0.0200.00875%-0.01
Daequan Cook0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.02337%0.003-0.06250%-0.01
Nate Robinson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.06-0.0030%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.01933%-0.043-0.08633%-0.08
Marco Belinelli-0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.33,-0.33,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01937%-0.253-0.13967%-0.09

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.250.250.170.090.011563%0.2500.001173%-0.03
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.024100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.080.080.15-0.060.021867%0.161-0.08475%-0.03
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.030.021356%0.032-0.056100%0.05
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01312%-0.041-0.03250%-0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.001039%-0.071-0.033100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.070.021242%-0.101-0.02250%-0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.38-0.38-0.17-0.22-0.02923%-0.124-0.25425%-0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.32.529.416.329.01.745.22.425.1174.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +22.7%
TOR -6.4%
CHI +12.2%
CHI +14.3%
CHI +7.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game16.415.815.4109.2105.0104.1
season16.616.1101.7104.4
opponent15.315.2105.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI17.614.014.417.723.316.4
TOR16.717.314.415.015.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer76780.76-0.261.010.1720-183815.918.1-2.2115.616.4-0.84
Luol Deng90910.63-0.130.750.398-61416.218.9-2.7215.518.8-3.33
Kirk Hinrich66670.380.120.270.0611-92015.817.7-1.9014.917.5-2.63
Joakim Noah89900.330.170.160.39-24-616.515.31.1515.914.81.06
Richard Hamilton36350.320.180.14-0.0011-92016.216.5-0.3316.015.60.34
Nate Robinson28310.300.200.110.36-24-619.115.33.8717.914.83.17
Marco Belinelli62640.240.26-0.020.45-79-1616.516.20.3315.815.70.09
Taj Gibson3132-0.190.69-0.890.22-1416-3017.316.01.3415.915.70.23
Jimmy Butler1212-0.380.88-1.260.06-1517-3215.016.6-1.5716.415.70.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Acy26270.23-0.730.96-0.1814-163017.515.12.3117.116.11.01
Alan Anderson63620.16-0.660.83-0.4521-234415.416.4-1.0017.913.84.11
Kyle Lowry6361-0.01-0.490.47-0.4816-183415.615.9-0.3117.314.92.39
Aaron Gray89-0.08-0.420.340.04-42-619.915.44.4815.716.4-0.78
Terrence Ross2829-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-2215.915.70.2513.617.6-4.01
Jose Calderon4244-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-1311-2415.615.9-0.2714.817.6-2.83
Amir Johnson8380-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.421-3415.318.1-2.7816.814.72.10
Landry Fields3734-0.540.04-0.57-0.04-1715-3216.515.31.1715.217.0-1.75
Ed Davis7471-0.620.12-0.74-0.15-1614-3015.117.5-2.3116.117.1-1.01
DeMar DeRozan7673-0.780.28-1.06-0.43-1210-2215.915.30.6016.615.70.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 113, CHI 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.16,090.7%
DAL 115, MIL 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,090.7%
PHX 97, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,089.6%