inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 113 Excitement8.8 [128] MVPScott Padgett (UTA): +17.3%
Chicago Bulls 111 Comeback1.6 [726] LVPRon Mercer (CHI): -21.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.170.120.060.00794%0.401-0.233100%0.02
John Crotty0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01462%0.0500.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01367%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jarron Collins0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.011364%0.053-0.091369%-0.02
Karl Malone-0.080,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.032353%-0.004-0.081479%0.02
John Stockton-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1-0.100.000.00943%0.004-0.103100%0.05
Greg Ostertag-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00236%-0.1000.001050%-0.06
Bryon Russell-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.07-0.07-0.04936%-0.071-0.04425%-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00358%-0.004-0.12683%0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.090.050.021279%0.213-0.09540%-0.07
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.080.080.030.05-0.00571%0.111-0.034100%0.06
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.002100%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Charles Oakley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00856%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.060.00959%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00450%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01050%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
A.J. Guyton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.04437%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.02-0.01937%0.033-0.091100%0.04
Greg Anthony0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00340%-0.063-0.06450%-0.03
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21-0.210.06-0.260.012158%-0.181-0.048100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.81.733.015.831.71.828.21.513.7154.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +34.2%
CHI -15.0%
UTA +30.2%
CHI -25.0%
UTA +25.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTACHINBAUTACHINBA
this game16.215.515.6110.8112.1102.3
season16.115.6102.996.3
opponent15.615.1105.5101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA17.015.016.715.617.316.2
CHI16.515.614.714.418.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone88840.70-0.200.890.3711-92016.414.42.0915.714.51.19
Donyell Marshall88860.57-0.070.650.464-2616.116.6-0.5615.515.20.28
John Stockton65630.53-0.030.550.356-41015.317.7-2.3815.315.9-0.61
Scott Padgett44410.480.020.470.345-3815.216.9-1.6715.315.6-0.35
Bryon Russell67640.410.090.320.3811016.116.3-0.2416.014.61.35
DeShawn Stevenson35350.090.41-0.320.0611016.316.10.2414.616.0-1.35
Jarron Collins23240.060.44-0.37-0.023-1415.416.4-0.9314.215.9-1.73
John Crotty3736-0.030.53-0.550.09-46-1017.715.32.3815.915.30.61
Greg Ostertag3635-0.130.63-0.760.13-911-2017.315.51.8216.315.01.30
Andrei Kirilenko2727-0.190.69-0.870.05-810-1816.116.2-0.1115.215.6-0.40

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller1213-0.05-0.450.400.04-31-415.115.5-0.4515.416.3-0.89
Metta World Peace6768-0.05-0.450.39-0.298-101815.315.9-0.6816.515.50.99
Tyson Chandler3336-0.06-0.440.39-0.3811-132415.015.7-0.7616.715.90.79
Greg Anthony3232-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-3414.715.8-1.0715.916.3-0.37
Eddy Curry1616-0.08-0.420.340.04-42-617.015.21.8216.716.00.70
Trenton Hassell3029-0.13-0.370.23-0.08-20-215.115.7-0.5914.716.8-2.10
Kevin Ollie5962-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-61015.815.00.7516.815.21.62
A.J. Guyton88-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-75-1216.115.40.7112.216.5-4.24
Fred Hoiberg5054-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-5816.015.01.0216.415.90.53
Charles Oakley6161-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-53-815.315.8-0.4716.316.00.26
Ron Mercer9396-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.44-1-1015.416.7-1.2716.018.3-2.31
Marcus Fizer3435-0.520.02-0.55-0.08-1513-2816.015.20.7616.116.2-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 107, TOR 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.42,090.7%
PHX 97, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,090.5%
WAS 103, PHI 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.02,090.0%