NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	88		Excitement	6.7 [464]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +14.8%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	2.0 [653]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -12.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	14	68%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	12	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.05	-0.03	17	53%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	9	82%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.02	13	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.05	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	28.3	15.7	25.3	2.7	31.2	127.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.5%

CHA -3.2%

IND +11.8%

IND +1.2%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.4	98.9	105.5	104.1
season	15.6	16.1		99.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	14.4	14.9	18.2	15.8
IND	15.7	15.6	19.4	14.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	38	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.02	8	-16	24	17.8	14.2	3.55	16.4	16.1	0.28
Bismack Biyombo	40	42	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-16	24	14.9	16.4	-1.50	17.3	15.4	1.89
Kemba Walker	56	58	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.28	11	-19	30	16.2	14.9	1.29	16.6	15.7	0.90
Gerald Henderson	51	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-14	20	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.3	16.1	0.20
Hakim Warrick	59	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-11	14	16.3	14.6	1.74	16.6	15.4	1.16
Jeff Adrien	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	3	-14	14.6	16.3	-1.74	15.4	16.6	-1.16
Jeff Taylor	33	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	5	-18	13.7	16.9	-3.22	16.4	16.1	0.26
Ben Gordon	49	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	4	-16	14.6	17.2	-2.63	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Brendan Haywood	49	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.19	-16	8	-24	16.4	14.9	1.50	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Ramon Sessions	40	40	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.04	-24	16	-40	16.4	15.2	1.27	16.2	16.3	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	50	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-4	16	15.5	17.1	-1.65	16.4	15.0	1.47
D.J. Augustin	53	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-4	16	16.1	16.4	-0.26	16.1	15.3	0.83
David West	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-1	10	16.8	14.3	2.54	16.4	13.6	2.71
George Hill	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	4	0	16.1	16.8	-0.71	15.9	15.0	0.86
Lance Stephenson	72	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	12	-16	16.6	14.9	1.64	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Gerald Green	43	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	1	6	16.2	16.2	-0.02	15.5	16.0	-0.47
Orlando Johnson	15	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	0	8	15.1	16.5	-1.41	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Tyler Hansbrough	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.3	16.8	-2.54	13.6	16.4	-2.71
Dominic McGuire	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	16.8	16.2	0.68	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Roy Hibbert	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	12	-16	17.1	15.5	1.65	15.0	16.4	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.56,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.84,1	92.8%
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.3%
CLE 98, BKN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,1,1,1	92.2%