NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	8.0 [249]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): +28.3%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	3.5 [156]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): -29.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.22	-0.01	11	73%	0.37	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27	0.11	0.14	-0.03	24	64%	0.40	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.04
Ekpe Udoh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.02	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.03	14	51%	0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	53%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	17	56%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	12	33%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	14	32%	-0.15	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.1	15.4	27.4	1.7	31.3	130.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +96.1%

CHI -9.8%

CHI -17.1%

CHI -19.0%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.4	107.2	98.0	104.1
season	14.7	16.6		101.6	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	13.0	15.1	14.3	14.1
CHI	14.0	15.8	15.6	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	78	79	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	0	8	14.6	12.1	2.59	15.8	13.8	2.00
Ersan Ilyasova	53	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	3	2	14.9	13.2	1.78	16.5	14.2	2.30
Larry Sanders	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	5	-2	14.7	13.2	1.53	16.1	14.4	1.64
Mike Dunleavy	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	2	4	13.2	15.4	-2.24	15.4	15.3	0.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	2	4	15.1	13.4	1.72	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Brandon Jennings	81	79	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	9	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.21	15.5	14.9	0.62
Ekpe Udoh	37	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	13.2	14.7	-1.53	14.4	16.1	-1.64
John Henson	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	5	-2	13.4	14.6	-1.17	14.6	15.9	-1.39
Beno Udrih	33	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	13.3	14.5	-1.21	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Samuel Dalembert	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	11.2	14.3	-3.09	11.5	15.7	-4.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	42	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	15.4	15.4	0.01	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Marquis Teague	10	12	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	-4	0	18.5	15.0	3.45	11.8	14.5	-2.63
Nazr Mohammed	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	14.0	15.6	-1.57	10.5	14.6	-4.15
Jimmy Butler	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.6	13.7	1.93
Marco Belinelli	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.5	-1.64	13.7	15.0	-1.23
Richard Hamilton	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.5	14.9	1.64	15.0	13.7	1.23
Luol Deng	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	1	-10	15.2	16.0	-0.81	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Joakim Noah	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	0	-8	15.8	14.1	1.63	14.7	12.1	2.54
Nate Robinson	88	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-4	0	15.0	18.5	-3.45	14.5	11.8	2.63
Carlos Boozer	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	0	-8	15.2	15.8	-0.60	14.4	13.6	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0	91.9%
CLE 118, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	91.8%
MIL 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.02,0	91.4%