NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	4.4 [960]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (HOU): +28.3%
Houston Rockets	123		Comeback	1.4 [950]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -23.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	16	66%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	79%	0.10	3	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	16	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.04	0.01	17	29%	-0.11	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.25	0.06	0.03	10	110%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	17	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.04
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Machado	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.04	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	27.2	15.4	24.7	0.3	27.8	120.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.5%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +3.5%

HOU +6.8%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	13.4	15.4	104.0	121.8	104.1
season	15.1	14.2		102.6	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		105.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	14.8	16.6	15.8	15.2
HOU	14.4	12.4	12.9	14.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-13	7	18.3	15.0	3.31	12.9	13.5	-0.63
Johan Petro	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-13	7	18.3	15.0	3.31	12.9	13.5	-0.63
Mike Scott	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-15	11	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.2	13.2	1.00
Kyle Korver	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-15	11	14.2	16.6	-2.47	13.2	13.8	-0.66
Zaza Pachulia	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-13	7	15.4	15.1	0.26	14.9	12.8	2.15
Al Horford	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-16	13	15.0	15.6	-0.54	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Josh Smith	51	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-15	11	13.9	16.6	-2.65	12.9	14.1	-1.18
Louis Williams	67	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-13	7	15.1	15.5	-0.35	13.4	13.6	-0.22
John Jenkins	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-8	-3	15.8	14.7	1.09	13.8	13.1	0.66
Jeff Teague	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-9	-1	14.5	17.4	-2.91	13.2	14.1	-0.91
Ivan Johnson	21	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-4	-11	17.1	14.7	2.43	12.5	13.7	-1.16
DeShawn Stevenson	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	1	-21	16.9	13.8	3.10	14.0	13.0	1.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	63	60	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.28	34	-15	49	12.7	14.7	-1.94	16.1	13.8	2.28
Patrick Patterson	41	40	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-4	27	12.4	14.1	-1.74	16.2	14.6	1.59
Toney Douglas	40	39	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	2	15	13.6	13.4	0.21	16.2	14.6	1.61
Omer Asik	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-2	23	12.8	14.9	-2.14	15.9	13.8	2.05
Jeremy Lin	85	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	3	13	13.4	13.9	-0.51	15.0	16.2	-1.15
James Harden	72	72	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	15	-11	13.4	13.5	-0.05	15.0	15.7	-0.64
Greg Smith	28	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	25	-31	15.6	12.6	3.04	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Donatas Motiejunas	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	14.0	13.4	0.58	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Scott Machado	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	14.0	13.4	0.58	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Cole Aldrich	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	17.0	13.4	3.63	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Marcus Morris	53	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	25	-31	14.0	12.9	1.13	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Chandler Parsons	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	30	-41	14.3	12.8	1.44	13.3	16.6	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 68, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
TOR 77, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SEA 80, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%