inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 77 Excitement3.6 [1084] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +13.0%
Miami Heat 99 Comeback1.6 [1056] LVPT.J. Ford (TOR): -11.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Parker0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011464%0.0710.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.01650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.010.05956%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrick Martin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01560%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jorge Garbajosa-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.021346%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0320%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Fred Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Kris Humphries-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00525%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Andrea Bargnani-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.010.001238%-0.033-0.072100%0.01
T.J. Ford-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.021048%0.027-0.1410%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.020.042167%0.205-0.071385%0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.03775%0.0800.002100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01763%0.071-0.02540%-0.03
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.051044%0.031-0.005100%0.02
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.013100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.03750%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Hite0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02762%0.055-0.0920%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.00-0.0340%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.429.315.423.42.527.2126.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +26.3%
MIA +12.8%
MIA +9.5%
TOR -0.2%
MIA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game14.115.415.479.4101.0104.5
season15.216.0104.7102.4
opponent15.615.4104.3104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR12.514.414.715.214.1
MIA15.213.316.616.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic36370.00-0.500.51-0.145-273214.014.2-0.1715.715.20.53
Darrick Martin340.00-0.500.500.06-2-201813.714.1-0.4818.515.33.23
PJ Tucker340.00-0.500.500.06-2-201813.714.1-0.4818.515.33.23
Joey Graham3938-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-212014.414.00.3817.414.13.26
Anthony Parker6562-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-212014.513.31.1816.513.43.13
Jorge Garbajosa6564-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-222214.114.2-0.1316.613.13.45
T.J. Ford6766-0.19-0.310.11-0.14-2-201814.213.90.2916.812.64.16
Kris Humphries2528-0.20-0.300.090.21-14-8-612.514.7-2.1714.415.8-1.46
Jose Calderon3032-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-2-1813.914.2-0.2912.616.8-4.16
Morris Peterson4648-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-18-4-1414.214.00.2014.216.5-2.33
Fred Jones4243-0.45-0.05-0.410.31-264-3014.014.3-0.2812.817.5-4.69
Andrea Bargnani6464-0.590.09-0.690.26-297-3614.413.60.8014.417.2-2.77

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono70680.78-0.281.05-0.3137-155214.617.3-2.6414.812.62.26
James Posey57570.66-0.160.82-0.2230-83814.716.4-1.6615.312.42.91
Antoine Walker57550.460.040.42-0.2424-22614.516.7-2.2114.313.90.49
Dwyane Wade74750.310.190.11-0.021111015.913.72.2414.014.5-0.47
Michael Doleac18170.250.25-0.00-0.041012-213.915.7-1.8516.413.62.76
Udonis Haslem66680.200.30-0.10-0.01715-816.213.72.4913.815.0-1.19
Jason Williams64630.170.33-0.16-0.04715-814.816.5-1.6913.515.3-1.74
Earl Barron430.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1818.515.33.2313.714.1-0.48
Chris Quinn430.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1818.515.33.2313.714.1-0.48
Robert Hite430.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1818.515.33.2313.714.1-0.48
Alonzo Mourning4646-0.060.56-0.620.17-830-3816.114.81.3013.214.9-1.70
Dorell Wright2627-0.260.76-1.010.15-1436-5017.214.72.4412.314.8-2.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 68, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
ATL 104, HOU 1230.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
BOS 85, CHI 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%