NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	116		Excitement	9.0 [134]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +46.9%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	22.5 [74]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -11.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.47	0.11	0.37	0.01	18	58%	0.49	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.17
DeAndre Jordan	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	8	73%	0.31	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	10	76%	0.27	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	11	56%	0.17	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0.06,0.07,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.19	-0.02	17	52%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.18
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.03	0.04	13	82%	0.22	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.05
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	0.00	6	74%	0.20	0	0.00	11	82%	0.03
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	55%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	150%	0.13	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	9	60%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	35.4	15.6	30.5	2.3	42.7	152.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.9%

LAC +15.6%

LAC +7.9%

LAC +9.3%

UTA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.4	119.6	117.5	104.1
season	15.6	16.0		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	14.3	13.8	16.4	14.9
UTA	15.5	13.4	16.2	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	75	76	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-11	24	15.3	13.5	1.85	15.3	13.1	2.18
Blake Griffin	80	80	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-12	26	14.9	15.0	-0.14	14.7	15.1	-0.31
DeAndre Jordan	65	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.47	7	-5	12	15.2	14.2	1.00	15.0	14.5	0.52
Matt Barnes	50	49	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.57	1	1	0	14.7	15.1	-0.47	14.9	14.7	0.27
Jamal Crawford	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.66	-6	8	-14	15.0	14.7	0.33	13.8	16.0	-2.11
Ryan Hollins	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	25.0	14.8	10.22	15.0	14.8	0.20
Caron Butler	60	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.31	10	-8	18	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.6	13.5	2.09
Willie Green	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Lamar Odom	30	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	7	-12	13.7	15.4	-1.77	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Ronny Turiaf	18	17	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.02	-12	14	-26	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.1	14.7	0.31
Eric Bledsoe	22	21	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	13	-24	13.5	15.3	-1.85	13.1	15.3	-2.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	40	41	0.66	-1.16	1.82	0.16	17	-19	36	13.8	15.5	-1.67	13.7	15.8	-2.13
Enes Kanter	29	31	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.01	15	-17	32	14.9	14.8	0.13	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Derrick Favors	39	40	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.01	12	-14	26	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Earl Watson	41	41	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-7	12	15.6	14.2	1.35	13.0	16.3	-3.35
Marvin Williams	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	7	-16	17.4	13.2	4.21	15.8	14.3	1.41
Gordon Hayward	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.53	7	-9	16	13.2	17.4	-4.21	14.3	15.8	-1.41
Jamaal Tinsley	55	55	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.58	-8	6	-14	14.5	15.2	-0.72	16.6	12.7	3.92
Paul Millsap	58	57	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.44	-14	12	-26	15.1	14.4	0.70	15.5	14.1	1.38
Al Jefferson	68	66	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.45	-17	15	-32	14.8	14.9	-0.13	15.0	14.7	0.26
Randy Foye	58	57	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.43	-18	16	-34	15.2	14.2	1.04	15.5	14.0	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.29,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.6%
TOR 114, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.11,0.15,0	90.1%
NOH 118, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.02,0	89.7%