NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	6.9 [419]		MVP	David West (IND): +35.3%
New Orleans Hornets	75		Comeback	17.4 [114]		LVP	Austin Rivers (NOH): -23.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.27,0.35	0.10	0.28	0.03	20	57%	0.39	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	10	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul George	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	15	49%	-0.09	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.01	16	71%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	14	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	17	40%	0.05	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	3	67%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	12	27%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.6	26.2	15.5	27.4	2.3	31.6	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.2%

NOH -3.7%

IND +5.5%

IND +4.5%

NOH -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	16.7	18.0	15.4	95.3	92.6	104.1
season	16.1	16.3		102.4	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	15.6	16.1	17.0	16.7
NOH	16.1	16.5	20.7	19.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	60	56	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.32	14	-8	22	16.5	17.1	-0.56	18.7	16.6	2.04
Lance Stephenson	60	56	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.32	14	-8	22	16.5	17.1	-0.56	18.7	16.6	2.04
George Hill	68	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	17.1	14.9	2.25	18.5	16.3	2.22
Paul George	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-1	8	16.1	19.0	-2.90	17.9	18.7	-0.80
Roy Hibbert	49	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	1	4	16.7	16.6	0.08	19.2	16.5	2.75
Ian Mahinmi	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.08	16.5	19.2	-2.75
D.J. Augustin	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	19.2	16.3	2.87	19.5	17.8	1.63
Ben Hansbrough	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	14.6	17.0	-2.35	14.4	18.6	-4.16
Sam Young	37	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	13	-20	17.1	16.4	0.66	17.1	18.8	-1.75
Tyler Hansbrough	25	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.00	-8	14	-22	17.1	16.5	0.56	16.6	18.7	-2.04

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	22	25	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.15	12	-18	30	15.3	19.1	-3.81	16.6	16.7	-0.17
Dominic McGuire	13	16	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-12	18	14.0	18.8	-4.82	15.7	16.9	-1.15
Xavier Henry	33	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	17.3	18.5	-1.21	16.8	16.6	0.21
Lance Thomas	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	18.8	17.5	1.30	17.2	16.3	0.86
Austin Rivers	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	5	-16	19.6	15.8	3.82	16.8	16.6	0.17
Robin Lopez	63	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-12	18	18.7	15.8	2.85	16.7	16.4	0.30
Roger Mason Jr.	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	16.7	18.7	-1.96	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	45	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	16.4	20.1	-3.76	16.8	16.5	0.32
Anthony Davis	58	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	11	-28	18.8	16.0	2.80	16.3	17.5	-1.17
Greivis Vasquez	59	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.17	-18	12	-30	19.1	15.3	3.81	16.7	16.6	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 111, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.2,0.46,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	90.9%
PHX 98, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.13,0	90.7%
DEN 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.24,0.39,0.62,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	90.3%