inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 90 Excitement6.5 [487] MVPDamian Lillard (POR): +19.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 98 Comeback1.4 [360] LVPGary Neal (SAS): -16.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00658%0.0500.0000%0.00
Danny Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04-0.020.04-0.02642%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Nando De Colo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.00487%0.083-0.1000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02-0.020.000.001557%0.104-0.127100%0.06
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01850%0.021-0.04850%-0.05
Manu Ginobili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01760%0.064-0.11650%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.011353%0.023-0.084100%0.02
Gary Neal-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.08-0.031030%-0.053-0.1100%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.20.200.090.09-0.022259%0.242-0.045100%0.03
JJ Hickson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.07-0.00867%0.1500.002100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.021060%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.011665%0.165-0.162100%0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.01743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Victor Claver0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.0540%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.021146%-0.002-0.062100%0.00
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00518%-0.042-0.0510%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.72.630.017.028.12.733.3141.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +21.0%
SAS -0.5%
POR +10.6%
POR +18.5%
POR +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game14.015.915.493.8101.0104.1
season15.215.8106.4104.3
opponent15.315.1107.699.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.313.914.514.214.0
POR15.516.114.917.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nando De Colo10110.02-0.520.55-0.042-101214.613.90.7018.115.62.51
Patty Mills25270.02-0.520.53-0.104-121612.614.4-1.8015.416.1-0.69
Cory Joseph11-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-760.014.1-14.1219.015.83.17
Matt Bonner98-0.03-0.470.430.02-2-6414.613.90.6512.616.2-3.53
Boris Diaw4144-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-8813.114.6-1.4815.915.80.04
DeJuan Blair2119-0.17-0.330.160.00-6-2-415.913.42.4214.516.2-1.73
Tim Duncan5857-0.20-0.300.09-0.17-1-7614.712.81.8616.215.40.79
Danny Green5658-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-6414.712.91.7515.516.4-0.87
Tiago Splitter5860-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-4-4013.215.1-1.8816.315.11.18
Manu Ginobili6263-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-113-1413.514.9-1.4115.616.3-0.66
Gary Neal6565-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-91-1013.914.1-0.2416.115.40.73
Tony Parker7472-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-102-1214.312.81.5516.015.40.57

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum77770.480.020.460.1910-21215.617.0-1.4914.013.90.09
Sasha Pavlovic68660.460.040.410.2571615.616.4-0.7313.415.1-1.69
Damian Lillard79790.420.080.340.2562416.015.10.9314.810.14.68
Luke Babbitt41420.340.160.180.0510-21214.416.9-2.5614.313.70.52
Meyers Leonard37380.330.170.160.069-11014.816.5-1.6612.614.9-2.26
LaMarcus Aldridge77740.270.230.040.1835-216.214.51.7213.615.0-1.40
JJ Hickson51490.100.40-0.310.27-614-2017.713.83.8415.312.52.82
Nolan Smith19180.090.41-0.33-0.0035-215.316.0-0.689.615.0-5.43
Victor Claver24250.040.46-0.410.0408-815.715.9-0.2115.313.51.83
Will Barton1212-0.030.53-0.550.03-210-1217.315.71.6714.713.90.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.91,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 88, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.97,1,194.4%
DET 79, MIL 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.95,194.1%
UTA 103, MIN 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,193.9%