NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	7.7 [288]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +12.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.7 [843]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -22.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	18	52%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	7	57%	0.17	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	57%	0.09	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	14	51%	0.06	2	-0.12	9	100%	0.07
Jason Maxiell	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.21	-0.03	-0.01	10	10%	-0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	13	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.01	20	57%	0.24	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.09
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.01	11	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	14	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	13	62%	0.12	2	-0.10	6	33%	-0.05
Arnett Moultrie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	32.0	15.8	26.3	2.7	35.0	137.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +64.8%

DET -34.7%

PHI +9.8%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.4	105.4	114.3	104.1
season	15.7	15.5		102.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	14.5	17.4	16.8	16.4
PHI	14.2	14.3	13.9	18.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	16.9	16.3	0.57	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Andre Drummond	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-8	9	15.4	16.8	-1.32	16.7	14.5	2.23
Jason Maxiell	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.1	15.6	1.47	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Kyle Singler	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	16.9	15.7	1.16	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Rodney Stuckey	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-10	13	15.5	18.1	-2.64	15.8	13.7	2.17
Charlie Villanueva	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-8	9	15.6	17.1	-1.47	17.0	13.6	3.43
Greg Monroe	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	16.8	15.4	1.32	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Brandon Knight	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	16.1	17.6	-1.43	15.2	14.7	0.48
Tayshaun Prince	70	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	5	-17	17.0	14.5	2.56	14.5	17.2	-2.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-2	11	15.5	13.8	1.69	16.9	15.1	1.78
Thaddeus Young	71	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	14.3	17.7	-3.44	16.6	15.6	0.96
Evan Turner	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	15.4	13.6	1.82	16.6	15.6	1.00
Jrue Holiday	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	14.3	17.8	-3.50	16.9	14.9	2.00
Lavoy Allen	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-9	25	12.9	16.4	-3.53	17.9	15.5	2.35
Spencer Hawes	60	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.32	-8	15	-23	16.1	13.1	2.94	15.6	17.9	-2.35
Dorell Wright	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	7	-7	16.3	14.4	1.91	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Maalik Wayns	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	8	-9	16.4	15.0	1.48	13.6	16.7	-3.04
Arnett Moultrie	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	9	-11	12.2	15.2	-2.95	12.7	16.6	-3.82
Nick Young	33	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	10	-13	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.3	17.1	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.8%
IND 92, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	92.7%
MEM 102, NOK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.92,1	92.2%